Description of Danzhou City’s Construction Land Supply Plan in 2023

Danzhou natural resource he planning bureau


twoMarch 2003

First, the preparation of general rulesone

(A) the guiding ideologyone

(2) Principles and basis for compilationone

(3) Related conceptsthree

(four) the scope of application and planning periodfour

Second, the regional overviewfour

(1) Geographical locationfour

(2) Administrative divisionsfive

(3) Natural conditionsfive

(4) Population conditionseight

(5) Social and economic conditionsnine

Iii. Implementation of the Plan for the Last Yearnine

Four, this year’s planning process11

(A) the preparatory stage11

(2) Investigation and analysis stage11

(III) Draft plan formulation stage11

(4) stage of soliciting opinionstwelve

(five) the stage of approval and publicationtwelve

Five, the technical route and method of this year’s plantwelve

(1) Technical routetwelve

(2) Working methods13

VI. Process and basis of determining indicators14

(A) Analysis of the supply capacity of state-owned construction land14

(B) State-owned construction land demand forecast analysis14

Seven, planning results35

(A) the total supply of construction land35

(B) Construction land supply structure35

(3) Layout of construction land supply36

(D) Construction land supply mode36

(A) the guiding ideology

Guided by the supreme leader’s ecological civilization thought, we will fully implement the decision-making arrangements of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the Second Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee, and provinces and cities, so as to speed up the transformation of land use mode as the main line and rationally arrange the whole city.2023The total amount, structure, layout, timing and mode of the annual supply of state-owned construction land, give full play to the role of land resources in the stage of high-quality development, closely focus on ensuring the high-quality use of land, ensuring the implementation of land space planning, and ensuring economic and social development, and effectively focus on urban development priorities such as the construction of free trade ports, the central city in the west, and the construction of a new bay around the city. Focus on strengthening the supply and management of real estate land, ensuring the effective supply of ordinary commercial housing, ensuring that the land for affordable housing should be fully guaranteed, strengthening the supply guarantee of industrial land, promoting the market-oriented allocation of industrial land, providing more accurate land element guarantee for Danzhou’s high-quality development, and laying the foundation for realizing the 14 th Five-Year Plan.

(2) Principles and basis for compilation

1.Compilation principle

(one) the principle of urban and rural planning

Give full play to the role of land in macro-control, promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure through the adjustment of land use structure, give full play to the radiation and driving role of cities in rural development, establish a long-term mechanism to promote the integration, coordination and sustainable development of urban and rural areas.

(2) the principle of economical and intensive land use

Further establish and improve the system of economical and intensive land use, take land use control as the core, promote the work of "linking increase with deposit", strictly control the supply of incremental land, make full use of existing stock land, further promote the transformation of land use mode from extension expansion to connotation tapping potential, from extensive and inefficient to intensive and efficient, and control the disorderly expansion of urban construction. Strictly control the scale of various construction land, continuously improve the level of economical and intensive land use, and contribute to building a resource-saving and environment-friendly society.

(three) principle of balance between supply and demand

In the case of fully analyzing the supply potential of state-owned construction land, comprehensively considering the level of economic and social development, capital investment capacity and land demand of various departments, rationally allocate the land supply structure and supply, and form a pattern in which land supply adapts to market demand.

(four) the principle of keeping pressure

Adhere to rational allocation and effective use of land. Establish a standardized real estate market order to promote the sustained, stable and healthy development of the real estate market; In strict accordance with the national Catalogue of Prohibited Land Use Projects and Catalogue of Restricted Land Use Projects, the principle of "keeping land supply under pressure" is emphasized, and land for industrial projects with high energy consumption, high material consumption, high pollution and low added value is strictly prohibited, so as to promote the adjustment of industrial structure and the transformation of economic growth mode.

2.basis of compilation

1.laws and regulations

(one) Land Management Law of the People’s Republic of China (2019Revised in);

(2) Regulations of the People’s Republic of China on the Implementation of Land Management Law (2021Revised in);

(three) People’s Republic of China (PRC) City Real Estate Management Law (2019Revised in);

(fourPeople’s Republic of China (PRC) Urban and Rural Planning Law (2019Revised in);

(five) Regulations on Land Management of Hainan Special Economic Zone (2018Revised in).

2.Relevant codes and standards

(one) The Ministry of Land and Resources on Printing and Distributing<Specification for preparation of supply plan for state-owned construction land>(Trial) Notice (Land and Resources Development [2010117No.);

(2) Opinions of Hainan Provincial People’s Government on Further Deepening the "Two Suspension" Policy to Promote the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Industry (Qiong Fu [201776No.);

(threeOpinions of Hainan Provincial People’s Government on Further Strengthening Macro-control of Land and Improving Land Use Efficiency(Qiongfu [2018threenumber);

(four) "About printing and distributing<Control Index of Construction Land Transfer in Hainan Province>(try out)Notice "(Joan’s land and resources regulations [2018sevennumber);

(five) "Guiding Opinions on Implementing Industrial Project Development and Land Access Agreement"(Joan’s land and resources regulations [2018eightnumber);

(six) "Hainan Provincial Development and Reform Commission on Printing and Distributing<Catalogue of Prohibited Restrictions on Industrial Access in Hainan Province (2019Edition)>Notice of "(Joan hair change industry [20191043No.);

(seven) Opinions of Hainan Provincial People’s Government on Supporting Industrial Project Development Planning and Land Security (Qiongfu [2021forty-fourNumber).

3.Planning and national economy information.

(one) Danzhou city master plan (space class2015—2030);

(2) Regulatory detailed planning of Danzhou city;

(threeStatistical Bulletin of Danzhou’s National Economic and Social Development.

(3) Related concepts

Danzhou city2023The supply plan of state-owned construction land in refers to the scientific arrangement made by Danzhou Municipal People’s Government on the total amount, structure, layout, timing and mode of all state-owned construction land supplied during the planning period.

Among them:

The total supply of state-owned construction land refers to the total scale of all kinds of state-owned construction land supply during the planning period.

The supply structure of state-owned construction land refers to the supply scale and proportional relationship of various state-owned construction land such as commercial service land, industrial and mining storage land, residential land, public management and public service land, special land, water area and water conservancy facilities land, transportation land and so on during the planning period.

The layout of state-owned construction land supply refers to the spatial distribution of state-owned construction land supply during the planning period.

The time sequence of state-owned construction land supply refers to the arrangement of state-owned construction land supply in different time periods during the planning period.

The supply methods of state-owned construction land include allocation, transfer, lease, investment at a fixed price or shareholding.

(four) the scope of application and planning period

1.area of application

This plan is applicable to all state-owned construction land planned to be supplied within the administrative area of Danzhou City, including Yangpu Economic Development Zone.

2.Planning period

The duration of this plan is one year, which is2023yearonemoononeSolstice2023yeartwelvemoon31Day.

Second, the regional overview

(1) Geographical location

Danzhou is located in the northwest of Hainan Island. There are Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences and South China University of Tropical Agriculture with strong scientific and technological strength. It is the economic and cultural center and transportation hub in the western part of Hainan Province, and it is a national spark technology-intensive area. Danzhou is adjacent to Lingao County, Chengmai County and Qiongzhong Li and Miao Autonomous Region in the east, Baisha Li Autonomous County and Changjiang Li Autonomous County in the southwest, Beibu Gulf in the northwest and across the sea from Vietnam. Land and sea transportation is developed in the territory, and the West Line Expressway, Haiyu West Line Highway and Hainan West Ring Railway run through the city. Danzhou City is far from Haikou, the provincial capital.129Kilometers, from Yangpu Port60Kilometers, shipping can reach Southeast Asia and coastal cities of the motherland directly. The city is long from east to west.87Kilometers, north-south width82Kilometers, area3258Square kilometers, it is the largest city in Hainan Province.

(2) Administrative divisions

Danzhou city co-governs.oneA development zone (Yangpu Economic Development Zone),16Towns (Nada Town, Baimajing Town, Zhonghe Town, Paipu Town, Mutang Town, Eman Town, Guangcun Town, Haitou Town, Heqing Town, Lanyang Town, Nanfeng Town, Yaxing Town, Dacheng Town, East Cheng Zhen Town, Wang Wu Town and Xinzhou Town),fourA state-owned farm (State-owned Bayi Farm, State-owned Western Union Farm, State-owned Lanyang Farm and State-owned Xipei Farm), the municipal government is located in Zhongxing Street in that big town.oneNumber.

(3) Natural conditions

1.Geomorphological conditions

The terrain of Danzhou City inclines from southeast to northwest, with an average elevation.105Rice. The city’s topography consists of three parts: coastal plain, terrace platform and mountainous hills. The northwest is mainly basalt and Quaternary marine sedimentary plain and river alluvial plain, accounting for the total area.28%; The central part is terrace and volcanic lava platform, accounting for the total area51%; The southeast is mountainous and hilly, accounting for the total area.21%. There are many small mountains in the territory, mostly distributed in the southeast, and Shamaoling is above sea level.752Rice is the highest point in China.

2.Climatic condition

Danzhou is a tropical monsoon maritime climate zone, with no heat in summer and no cold in winter. Sunny, mild climate, average annual temperature.232 ℃.oneMonthly average temperature169℃The extreme maximum temperature is400℃. Rainfall is abundant but unevenly distributed, with less rainfall in winter and spring and more rainfall in summer and autumn, with an average annual rainfall.1815Millimeter,fiveMoon solstice10Month is rainy season,11Month to next yearfourJune is the dry season. Affected by tropical storms and typhoons, the county is light, and strong typhoons average everyfourOnce in a year

3.Hydrological conditions

Danzhou City is rich in water resources, with large and small rivers.36Article, large, medium and small reservoirs33Among them, Nandu River, Zhubijiang River and Wenlan River originated from abroad, and Beimen River, Chunjiang River, Guangcun River, Dajiang River and Shanji River originated from China.fiveArticle. Songtao Reservoir is one of the top ten reservoirs in China, the largest reservoir in the province and an important resource for agricultural irrigation.

4.Natural resource conditions

Danzhou city is rich in mineral resources, and lignite, oil shale and barite have been proved to be of development value.10The rest are gold, silver, iron, lead, zinc, tungsten, tantalum, niobium and petroleum.10A variety of metal mines. The protection of ecological resources in Danzhou City is extremely complete, and the forest coverage rate reaches.48%, tree species resources rank first in the province, and cherishing tree species resources is second to none. Hainan Tropical Botanical Garden alone has preserved thousands of precious tree species, including plum, mother, agarwood, pear, jackfruit, litchi, longan, melia azedarach and other precious trees. There are many kinds of medicinal plants, including the world-famous anticancer plants Cephalotaxus hainanensis and Maydenwood, as well as the well-known boat-fruited sterculia, nux vomica and agarwood. Wild animals are rich in resources and precious in species, including gibbons, leopards, bears and water deer., Huang Wei,penetrateShanjia, scarab, parrot, duck, pheasant, partridge, etc.

Danzhou is rich in marine resources and has a long coastline.298Kilometers, there are many harbors, mainly Houshuiwan, Danzhou Bay and Yangpu Port. Due to its proximity to the Beibu Gulf, the fishing ground is vast, and there are many kinds of marine fish, such as mackerel, red fish, pomfret, squid, cuttlefish, eel, grouper, sea cucumber, prawn, hairtail, crab, white butterfly and pearl oyster. Danzhou is one of the "Top 100 Agricultural Cities in China" with a vast territory, fertile soil and criss-crossing canals. Rich in rubber, sugar cane, pepper, melons and vegetables, coffee, citronella and southern medicine.Tropical cash crops are also rich in mango, longan, litchi, pineapple, banana, coconut and other tropical famous fruits, among which the planting area of rubber and sugarcane ranks among the best in the province.

Danzhou City, located in the northern section of the industrial corridor in the west of Hainan, is the industrial center in the northwest of Hainan. Its economic development is in a tripartite confrontation with Haikou and Sanya, forming an industrial system with sugar, rubber products, furniture, building materials, cement, steel light industry, agricultural products processing and aquatic products processing as the main body.

Danzhou is rich in tourism resources, and it is the city and county with the largest variety of tourism resources in western Hainan, withtwentyA number of tourist attractions, both beautiful natural scenery, but also unique cultural landscape. Natural scenery includes Lanyang National Forest Park, Hainan Tropical Botanical Garden in Tropical Plant Kingdom, Songtao Reservoir in Treasure Island and Yunyue Lake in Fairy Dressing.70Thousands of meters of high-quality seaside beaches-Haitou and Paipu Golden Beach and Guangcun Silver Beach, the "Egret Paradise" suspected of entering the fairyland, and the "Dragon Gate Surge" which makes people feel excited, include the famous Lanyang Hot Spring, the Lumuwan Waterfall, the magical Shentou and Yingdao Rock Flower Water Cave, as well as Guanyin Cave and Juntun Huaguo Mountain. In addition, Danzhou still has a long history, splendid culture, simple folk customs and ancient customs.11The ancient cultural city of Korea. Dongpo Academy, a national key cultural relic protection unit located in Zhonghe Ancient Town, has Tiannan Scenic Spot, Danzhou Ancient City, Fubo Ancient Temple, Baimajing Historic Site, Ningji Temple, Taolang Temple and Kuixing Tower.

(4) Population conditions

The total population of the city is871118People, from the perspective of household composition, have a total of family households.251357Household, collective household5950The population of households and families is841972People, collective household population is29146People, the average population of each household is3.35People.

In terms of gender ratio, among the total population of the city, the male population is466902Person, account for53.60%; The female population is404216Person, account for46.40%. Sex ratio of total population115.51%.

Judging from the age composition, among the total population of the city,0-14The age population is177395Person, account for20.36%;15-59The age population is556716Person, account for63.91%;60The population aged and above is137007Person, account for15.73%, in which:65The population aged and above is97777Person, account for11.22%.

In terms of education level, the population with university education (referring to junior college or above) is70810People; The population with high school (including technical secondary school) education is109034People; The population with junior high school education is326877People; The population with primary school education is226856People.

From the perspective of urban and rural population, the population living in cities and towns is452158Person, account for51.91%; The population living in the countryside is418960Person, account for48.09%.

(5) Social and economic conditions

2022In, the city’s regional GDP878.91Billion yuan, calculated at constant prices, an increase over the previous year.122.32%. Among them, the added value of the primary industry154.69One hundred million yuan, an increase over the previous year.10.68%; Added value of secondary industry228.52100 million yuan, down from last year.611.46%; Added value of tertiary industry495.71100 million yuan, an increase over the previous year.121.85%. Tertiary industry proportionGDPThe specific gravity of is respectively17.6%26%56.4%. At the same time, on the whole, agricultural production rose slightly, industrial production made great strides, service industry developed at a high speed, investment in fixed assets maintained rapid growth, the consumer market recovered well, fiscal revenue increased steadily, and expenditure decreased.

Iii. Implementation of the Plan for the Last Year

according to2022Analysis of construction land supply ledger in,2022The city has a total supply of construction land615.0635Hectares, including commercial service land.26.1120Hectares, industrial and mining storage land47.0437Ha, residential land23.9107Hectares, public management and public service land61.6935Hectares, transportation land375.3252Hectares, waters and land for water conservancy facilities80.9784Hectares, special land0Ha.

Jing Yu2022Comparative analysis of the annual supply plan shows that the actual total supply of construction land in the whole year is more planned.652.3392Ha, decrease37.2757Ha. From the perspective of supply structure, the actual supply of commercial service land is more than planned.48.05Ha, decrease21.938Hectares; The actual supply of industrial and mining storage land is more planned197.8506Ha, decrease150.8069Hectares; The actual supply of residential land is more than planned29.2286Hectares,
decrease
5.3179Hectares; The actual supply of land for public management and public service is planned.128.2615Ha, decrease66.568Hectares; The actual supply of transportation land is more planned194.7614Ha, increase180.5638Hectares; The actual supply of land for water areas and water conservancy facilities is more planned16.8511Ha, increase64.1273Hectares; The actual supply of special land is more planned37.336Ha, decrease37.336Hectares, as shown in the table below and below.

tableoneDanzhou city2022Table on Implementation of State-owned Construction Land Supply Plan in

Unit: hectares,

Planned supply

48.05

197.8506

29.2286

128.2615

194.7614

16.8511

37.336

652.3392

Actual supply

26.112

47.0437

23.9107

61.6935

375.3252

80.9784

0

615.0635

supply

-21.938

-150.8069

-5.3179

-66.568

180.5638

64.1273

-37.336

-37.2757

differential value

Plan implementation rate

54.34%

23.78%

81.81%

48.10%

192.71%

480.55%

0.00%

94.29%

pictureoneDanzhou city2022Figure on the implementation of state-owned construction land supply plan in.

Four, this year’s planning process

(A) the preparatory stage

Hold a work deployment meeting, organize land use, planning, reserve center, farmland protection and other departments, form a special work class, be fully responsible for the preparation of the state-owned construction land supply plan in our city, clarify the division of responsibilities, implement the work funds, and determine the technical unit for the preparation of this plan in an open way.

Release preparation2023Notice of the annual state-owned construction land supply plan. To the Municipal Development and Reform Commission, the Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau, the Municipal Transportation Bureau and other relevant departments, as well as the township governments and parks.2023Notice of the annual state-owned construction land supply plan. The contents include suggestions from relevant departments, township governments, parks, etc. on the supply plan of state-owned construction land in this area during the planning period, and the demand for state-owned construction land in this industry and field during the planning period.

Carry out basic data collection. Arrange personnel to go to various departments to collect relevant materials for supply planning, including but not limited to the master plan (space class)2015—2030) data, batch but not for data, reserve land data, etc.

(2) Investigation and analysis stage

According to the relevant information collected, the investigation and analysis work is carried out, mainly including supply potential analysis and construction land demand analysis. Among them, in the aspect of supply potential analysis, combined with the collected data of batch but not supply and land reserve, combined with the relevant planning situation to make a comprehensive determination. In terms of demand for construction land, combined with economic and social development and land use, according to different land types, the corresponding forecasting methods are selected for calculation.

(III) Draft plan formulation stage

According to the investigation and analysis stage, the supply potential and construction land demand determined are comprehensively determined.2023In the state-owned construction land supply plan indicators, and in accordance with the "State-owned construction land supply plan" (Trial) requirements, the preparation of the draft supply plan.

(4) stage of soliciting opinions

Submit the prepared draft supply plan to all relevant departments and units for comments, and improve the draft plan according to the feedback.

(five) the stage of approval and publication

After the preparation of the supply plan is completed, it will be announced as required after being approved by the Municipal People’s Government.

Five, the technical route and method of this year’s plan

(1) Technical route

Through the analysis of land approved but not supplied, idle land and government reserve land within the jurisdiction, the state-owned construction land that can be supplied during the planned period is comprehensively determined. At the same time, according to the investigation and analysis of the economic and social development, land use and real estate market in this area, the total demand and structure of state-owned construction land are predicted by scientific methods, and the demand for state-owned construction land is comprehensively determined in combination with the audit of the demand for state-owned construction land declared by relevant government departments at the same level, township people’s governments and industrial parks.

Combined with the amount of state-owned construction land that can be supplied and the demand of state-owned construction land in the planned period, the planned indicators of state-owned construction land supply are determined as a whole, and the planned indicators of state-owned construction land supply can be decomposed according to the administrative area, land use and supply mode. The specific technical route is shown in the following figure:

picture2Technical Route of State-owned Construction Land Supply Planning

(2) Working methods

1.Scientifically and rationally analyze the supply potential of state-owned construction land

When analyzing the supply potential of state-owned construction land, we should comprehensively consider the influence of land use status, planning, ownership status and expropriation on land supply, focus on the land use status and overall planning data, and analyze the potential of land that has not been supplied, government reserve land and idle land according to the planning implementation status, so as to determine the source and scale of potential supply of state-owned construction land during the planning period.

2.Scientifically predict the demand for state-owned construction land

When forecasting the demand for state-owned construction land, it should be carried out on the basis of full investigation and analysis of the economic and social development, land use and real estate market in this area, focusing on the changing trend of construction land supply in previous years, and selecting a realistic forecasting method to forecast the demand for state-owned construction land. According to the requirements of "Standard for the Planning of State-owned Construction Land Supply" (for Trial Implementation), the index prediction methods include trend prediction method, linear regression method, exponential smoothing method, land quota index method and grey model method.

3.Comprehensive balance to determine the scale of planned supply indicators

In the final determination of the supply index scale, it is necessary to comprehensively consider the supply potential of state-owned construction land, the predicted demand of state-owned construction land and the demand of state-owned construction land reported by various departments and units, proceed from the demand and actual supply capacity, comprehensively balance and make overall arrangements to determine the final supply index scale.

VI. Process and basis of determining indicators

(A) Analysis of the supply capacity of construction land

Combined with the actual situation of our city, the potential sources of state-owned construction land mainly include land approved but not supplied by our city, idle land and government reserve land. After inquiring about the dynamic monitoring and supervision system of land use, the existing land area of our city is256.5291Ha, idle land area is80.5624Ha. At the same time, the reserve area of our municipal government is3157.73Ha.

(2) Forecast and analysis of construction land demand

1.Forecast content

The demand forecast of state-owned construction land mainly includes the total demand forecast of state-owned construction land and various types of state-owned construction land such as commercial service land, industrial and mining storage land, residential land, public management and public service land, transportation land, water area and water conservancy facilities land and special land during the planning period.

2.Predictive thinking

Based on the investigation and analysis of Danzhou’s economic and social development, land use and real estate market, according to different land types, the corresponding forecasting methods are selected to scientifically predict the total demand and structure of state-owned construction land; At the same time, the demand for state-owned construction land is comprehensively determined in combination with the review of the demand for state-owned construction land declared by relevant departments and units.

3.prediction technique

The forecasting methods of state-owned construction land demand generally include trend forecasting method, linear regression method, exponential smoothing method, land quota index method and grey model method.

(oneTrend prediction method: according to the historical data of existing land supply, a curve is fitted to reflect the changing trend of total land supply, and then the land demand in the planned period is estimated according to this trend curve.

Trend prediction method, also known as trend curve analysis, curve fitting or curve regression, is the most studied and popular quantitative prediction method so far. It is to fit a curve according to the known historical data, so that this curve can reflect the growth trend of the load itself, and then according to this growth trend curve, the load forecast value at that moment is estimated for a certain point in the future.

Commonly used trend models include linear trend model, polynomial trend model, linear trend model, logarithmic trend model, power function trend model, exponential trend model and logistic model.(logistic)Model, Gong Botz (gompertz) model, etc., the process of seeking trend model is relatively simple, and this method itself is a definite external heap, processing historical data. The process of fitting curve and obtaining simulated curve does not consider random error. In principle, the accuracy of the curve fitted by trend analysis is consistent for the whole fitting interval. In many cases, choosing a suitable trend curve can really give a better prediction result. However, the results given by different models will vary greatly, and the key to use is to choose the appropriate model according to the regional development.

Linear trend model

Linear trend prediction method, also known as "linear trend prediction method", is a prediction method used when the time series data in the observation period are close to a straight line and show an approximate straight line rise and fall. The first key is to get the trend straight line, so as to get the predicted value by using the extension of the trend straight line. The equation for finding the trend straight line is:

Yt=a+bt

Formula:t——The independent variable is any selected.tvalue;

Yt——Dependent variable, for the selectedtValue, corresponding variableYThe average estimated value of, that is, the firsttForecast value of forecast period;

ab——Unknown parameter.

The steps of linear trend prediction method are as follows:

A.Drawing with known data to determine the straight line trend.

B.Find the straight line of changing trend. You can use the intuitive method or the least square method.

C.Using the extension of the changing trend straight line, the predicted value is determined.

Polynomial trend model

Polynomial curve trend prediction method is a form of curve trend, which uses polynomial equation to match the real curve trend of time series data to predict the future.

The equation for finding the trend straight line is:

Yt=b0+b1t+b2t2+…+bktk

Formula:t——The independent variable is any selected.tvalue

Yt——Dependent variable, for the selectedtValue, corresponding variableYThe average estimated value of, that is, the firsttThe predicted value of the prediction period;

b0b1b2bk——Unknown parameter

The steps of polynomial trend prediction method are as follows:

A.Drawing with known data to determine the straight line trend.

B.Find the changing trend curve. You can use the intuitive method or the least square method.

C.Using the extension of the changing trend straight line, the predicted value is determined.

(2) linear regression method:According to the principle of mathematical statistics, a large number of experimental statistical data are analyzed and processed, and the variables with linear relationship with land supply are found, then the functional relationship between them is established, and finally the land demand is predicted according to the change of independent variables.

Univariate linear regression model

Is based on independent variablesxAnd dependent variableYThe relationship between, establishxandYBased on the linear regression equation. Because market phenomena are generally influenced by many factors, not just one. Therefore, the application of one-dimensional linear regression analysis and prediction method must make a comprehensive analysis of various factors affecting market phenomena. Only when there is a variable among many influencing factors that has a significantly higher influence on the dependent variable than other factors can we use it as an independent variable and apply the market forecasting method of univariate correlation regression analysis to forecast.

The prediction model of unary linear regression analysis method is:

Yt=a+bxt

Where:xt——tThe value of the independent variable;

Yt——tThe value of the dependent variable;

ab——Parameters of linear regression equation with one variable.

Multiple linear regression model

When the change of the dependent variable is influenced by several important factors, it is necessary to use two or more influencing factors as independent variables to explain the change of the dependent variable. This is multiple regression, also known as multiple regression. When there is a linear relationship between multiple independent variables and dependent variables, the regression analysis is multivariate linear regression.

The prediction model of multiple linear regression analysis is:

In the formula,b0Is a constant term,boneb2bthree…bkIs the regression coefficient,boneforx2xthreexfour…xkWhen fixed,xoneFor each additional unit pairyThe effect of, namelyxonerightyPartial regression coefficient of; in like manner; in a similar wayb2forxone,xkWhen fixed,x2For each additional unit pairyThe effect of, namelyx2rightyPartial regression coefficient of.If two independent variablesxone,x2The same dependent variableyWhen there is a linear correlation, the binary linear regression model can be described as:y=b0+bonexone+b2x2+e.

When establishing a multivariate regression model, in order to ensure that the regression model has excellent explanatory power and prediction effect, we should first pay attention to the selection of independent variables, and its criteria are:

A.The independent variable must have a significant influence on the dependent variable and show a close linear correlation;

B.The linear correlation between independent variables and dependent variables must be true, not formal;

C.Independent variables should be mutually exclusive, that is, the degree of correlation between independent variables should not be higher than that between independent variables and dependent variables;

D.Independent variables should have complete statistical data, and their predicted values are easy to determine.

At the same time, when multiple linear regression analysis is adopted, the model should be tested and evaluated.

A.Determination of fitting degree

Multiple determinable coefficients in multivariate linear regressionr2It is the change explained by the regression equation in the total change of the dependent variable.(Regression sum of squares)The proportion,R2The greater the regression, the stronger the fitting degree of each regression party to the sample data points, and the closer the relationship between all independent variables and dependent variables. The calculation formula is:

among

B.standard error of estimate

Estimation standard error, that is, dependent variable.yThe standard error between the actual value of and the estimated value obtained by the regression equation, the smaller the estimated standard error, the better the fitting degree of the regression equation, and the calculation formula is:

Among them,kIs the number of independent variables in the multivariate linear regression equation.

C.Significance test of regression equation

The significance test of regression equation is to test the significance of the whole regression equation, or to evaluate whether the linear relationship between all independent variables and dependent variables is close. Usually usedFInspection,FThe calculation formula of statistics is:

According to a given significance levela,freedom(k,n-k-1)checkFDistribution table, get the corresponding critical value.Fa, ifF>FaThen the regression equation is significant and the regression effect is significant;F<Fa, the regression equation is not significant and the regression effect is not significant.

D.Significance test of regression coefficient

The significance test of regression coefficients is to test whether each regression coefficient in the regression model is significant, so that only those factors that have significant influence on the dependent variables are retained in the model. When testing, calculate statistics first.ti; Then according to the given significance levela,freedomn-k-1checktDistribution table, critical value oftaorta/2,t>taorta/2, the regression coefficientbiand0There is a significant difference, on the contrary, it is related to0There is no significant difference. StatistictThe calculation formula of is:

amongCijIs the inverse matrix of solving regression coefficient matrix in multivariate linear regression equation.(x’x)The first on the main diagonal of.jElements.

E.Multiple collinearity discrimination

If the regression coefficienttThe test fails, which may be caused by the fact that the independent variable corresponding to this coefficient is not significant to the shadow level of the dependent variable. At this time, this independent variable should be eliminated from the regression model, and a simpler regression model should be established or the independent variable should be replaced. It may also be caused by collinearity between independent variables, so we should try to reduce the influence of collinearity at this time.

Multicollinearity means that there is a strong linear relationship between independent variables in the multivariate linear regression equation. If this relationship exceeds the linear relationship between dependent variables and independent variables, the stability of the regression model will be destroyed and the estimation of regression coefficients will be inaccurate. It should be pointed out that in the multiple regression model, multicollinearity is inevitable, as long as multicollinearity is not too serious. Judging whether there is severe multicollinearity in multivariate linear regression equation, the determinable coefficient between every two independent variables can be calculated separately.r, ifr2>R2Or close toR2, we should try to reduce the influence of multilinear. The conditional number of eigenvalue of correlation coefficient matrix between independent variables can also be calculated.k=λ1/λp(λ1Is the largest eigenvalue,λpIs the minimum eigenvalue.),k<100, there is no multi-focus collinearity; if100≤k≤1000, there is a strong multicollinearity between independent variables, ifk>1000There is serious multicollinearity between independent variables. The way to reduce multicollinearity is mainly to change the value of independent variables, such as changing absolute numbers into relative numbers orAverage, or replace other independent variables.

F.D.Wtest

When the regression model is based on dynamic data, the error termeIt is also a time series. If the items of the error series are independent of each other, there is no correlation between the items of the error series. If there is a close correlation between the error series, the established regression model cannot express the real change relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variables.D.WTest is the autocorrelation test of error sequence.

(three) exponential smoothing method:The smoothing coefficient is used to correct and smooth the statistical data reflecting the historical changes of variables, so as to analyze the evolution trend of variables and predict the land demand in the planned period. This method gives different weights to the past data. Generally speaking, the closer data has less influence on the future, while the farther data has greater influence on the future, so the closer data has greater weight, while the farther data has less weight. If the time series data points of land supply show a linear trend, the linear or quadratic exponential smoothing method can be used to predict.:If the data points show a nonlinear trend, the cubic exponential smoothing method is used to predict.

Exponential smoothing method is put forward by Brown, who thinks that the situation of time series is stable or regular, so time series can be reasonably postponed. He thinks that the recent past situation will continue in the future to some extent, so he puts greater weight on the recent information.

Exponential smoothing method is a time series analysis and prediction method developed on the basis of moving average method. It predicts the future of the phenomenon by calculating the exponential smoothing value and cooperating with a certain time series prediction model. The principle is that the exponential smoothing value of any period is the weighted average of the actual observation value of this period and the exponential smoothing value of the previous period. According to different smoothing times, exponential smoothing methods can be divided into primary exponential smoothing method, secondary exponential smoothing method and tertiary exponential smoothing method.

The basic formula of exponential smoothing method is:S=a*yt+(1-a)St-1In the formula,

S——timetSmooth value of;

yt——timetActual value of;

St-1——timet-1Actual value of;

a——Smoothing constant, its value range is[0,1];

Initial value determination:

According to the formula:Sone=a*yone+(1-a)S0, when you want to use exponential smoothing method to start collecting data, it does not exist.y0. Unable to produceS0Naturally, it cannot be found by exponential smoothing formula.Sone, defined by exponential smoothing methodSoneIs the initial value. The determination of initial value is also an important condition of exponential smoothing process.

If we can find it,yonePrevious historical data, then, initial valueSoneThe determination of is not a problem. When the data is less, the whole period average and moving average method can be used.;When there are more data, the least square method can be used. But the exponential smoothing method itself cannot be used to determine the initial value, because the data will be exhausted.

If only fromyoneAt the beginning of the data, then the methods to determine the initial value are:

(one) takeSonebe equal toyone;

(2) After accumulating some data, takeSoneIs equal to the simple arithmetic average of the previous data, such as:Sone=(yone+y2+ythree)/3Wait a minute.

smoothing factoraDetermination of:

In the calculation of exponential smoothing method, the key isαThe value of the size, butαThe value of is easily influenced by subjective factors, so it is reasonably determined.αThe value method of is very important. Generally speaking, if the data fluctuates greatly,αThe value should be larger, which can increase the influence of recent data on the forecast results. If the data fluctuates smoothly,αThe value should be smaller. Theoretical circles generally believe that there are the following methods to choose from:

Empirical judgment method. This method mainly relies on the development trend of time series and the experience of forecasters to make judgments.

oneWhen the time series shows a stable horizontal trend, the smaller one should be selected.αValue, generally available in the0.050.20Value between;

2When the time series fluctuates, but the long-term trend changes little, you can choose a slightly larger one.αValue, often0.10.4Value between;

threeWhen the time series fluctuates greatly and the long-term trend changes greatly, showing an obvious and rapid upward or downward trend, it is appropriate to choose a larger one.αValue, as can be found in the0.60.8Choose values between them to make the prediction model more sensitive and keep up with the changes of data quickly;

fourWhen the time series data is an upward (or downward) trend type,αShould take a larger value, in0.6oneBetween

Try algorithm. According to the specific time series, refer to the empirical judgment method to roughly determine the rated value range, and then take a few.αValue for trial calculation, the comparison is differentαValue of the prediction standard error, select the smallest prediction standard error.α.

(four) land quota index method:According to the project land quota or production scale land quota, the land demand is calculated according to the project or production scale.

(five) grey model method:Through grey relational analysis, land supply is closely related to GDP, total population, urban population, investment in fixed assets, per capita GDP, output value of secondary industry and output value of tertiary industry. Based on these factors, the grey system model method is used to establish grey.GM(one,one) model to forecast the demand of state-owned construction land in the planning period.GM(one,one) The essence of the model is to generate the original data in a cumulative way, so that the generated data series presents a certain law. The curves of each data series can be approximated by typical curves, and then the approximated curves are used as models. Finally, the predicted values of the model are reduced and reduced once to predict the system. according toCandPThe two indexes can comprehensively evaluate the accuracy of the prediction model. Specific indicators are shown in the following table.

table2Grey model prediction accuracy evaluation index table

good

0.95

0.35

qualified

0.8

0.40

barely

0.7

0.45

Unqualified /disqualification

0.7

0.45

4.Prediction process

(one) Forecast of the total supply of commercial service land

In recent years, the supply of commercial service land presents a nonlinear change.(The supply situation and trends over the years are detailed in the following table and figure below.)Therefore, exponential smoothing method and grey model method are selected for forecasting.

tablethreeTable of land supply for commercial service

Supply area (hectare)

14.626

6.5192

13.7793

129.2742

66.2202

18.6603

0

4.7472

19.0127

15.1677

26.112

picturethreeChange chart of supply trend of commercial service land

exponential smoothing

According to the time series data points of land supply in Danzhou city over the years, the land supply presents a nonlinear trend, so quadratic exponential smoothing is used to predict the total supply. At the same time, considering that the number of items in the original series is small (less than15Item), initial valueS0Using the average of the first three periods, smoothing coefficientaAccording to the changing trend, choose0.6till/extremely0.8Between, this choice.0.7Forecast, smoothing results are as follows:

tablefourQuadratic exponential smoothing result table of commercial service land

Quadratic exponential smoothing

14.626

10.6537

11.8277

69.4822

73.0727

46.7338

21.4637

10.9983

13.9835

According to the above results, analyze and predict,2023Supply of commercial service land in Danzhou City in=(2*15.1962-13.9835)+(0.4/0.6)*(15.1962-13.9835)=17.2174Ha.

Grey model method

Grey model method is used to establish grey.GM(1,1) model,GM(1,1) The essence of the model is to generate the original data in a cumulative way, so that the generated data series presents a certain law. The curves of each data series can be approximated by typical curves, and then the approximated curves are used as models. Finally, the predicted values of the model are reduced and reduced once to predict the system. According to the tablethreeThe data in the grey model is established, and the prediction model is obtained as followsx(t+1)=-528.808035exp(-0.085412t)+543.434035. After calculation,2023The total annual demand for commercial service land is18.4273Ha.

Determination of supply

There is a certain gap between the supply of commercial service land predicted by exponential smoothing method and grey model method, so the supply is determined by weighted average method, and the weight of the prediction result by exponential smoothing method is0.3, the weight of grey model prediction results is0.7, so2023Annual supply of commercial service land in Danzhou, namely17.2174hektare×0.3+18.4273hektare×0.7=18.0643Ha.

(2) Forecast of total supply of industrial, mining and storage land

In recent years, the supply of industrial and mining storage land has shown a nonlinear change.(The supply situation and trends over the years are detailed in the following table and figure below.)Therefore, exponential smoothing method and grey model method are selected for forecasting.

tablefiveTable of supply of industrial, mining and storage land

Supply area (hectare)

97.9704

158.0389

9.5383

56.796

11.7448

2.2553

8.6667

5.39

8.0907

114.5278

47.0437

picturefourChange chart of supply trend of industrial and mining storage land

exponential smoothing

According to the time series data points of land supply in Danzhou city over the years, the land supply presents a nonlinear trend, so quadratic exponential smoothing is used to predict the total supply. At the same time, considering that the number of items in the original series is small (less than15Item), initial valueS0Using the average of the first three periods, smoothing coefficientaAccording to the changing trend, choose0.6till/extremely0.8Between, this choice.0.7Forecast, smoothing results are as follows:

tablesixQuadratic exponential smoothing result table of industrial and mining storage land

Quadratic exponential smoothing

97.9704

127.404

72.2988

59.743

35.0938

16.7845

11.159

7.8259

7.6557

According to the above results, analyze and predict,2023Supply of commercial service land in Danzhou City in=(2*82.4443-7.6557)+(0.4/0.6)*(82.4443-7.6557)=207.0912Ha.

Grey model method

Grey model method is used to establish grey.GM(1,1) model,GM(1,1) The essence of the model is to generate the original data in a cumulative way, so that the generated data series presents a certain law. The curves of each data series can be approximated by typical curves, and then the approximated curves are used as models. Finally, the predicted values of the model are reduced and reduced once to predict the system. According to the tablefiveThe data in the grey model is established, and the prediction model is obtained as followsx(t+1)=-488.478801exp(-0.167882t)+586.449201. After calculation,2023The total annual demand for industrial, mining and storage land is14.0865Ha.

Determination of supply

There is a certain gap between the supply of commercial service land predicted by exponential smoothing method and grey model method, so the supply is determined by weighted average method, and the weight of the prediction result by exponential smoothing method is0.3, the weight of grey model prediction results is0.7, so2023Annual supply of commercial service land in Danzhou, namely207.0912hektare×0.3+14.0865hektare×0.7=71.9879Ha.

(three) Prediction of total supply of residential land

The supply of residential land has shown a nonlinear change in recent years.(The supply situation and trends over the years are detailed in the following table and figure below.)Therefore, exponential smoothing method and grey model method are selected for forecasting.

tablesevenTable of residential land supply

Supply area (hectare)

151.6230

84.7345

12.6994

172.4707

95.6235

21.6543

9.0995

18.8548

14.1311

41.08939

23.9107

picturefiveChange chart of residential land supply trend

exponential smoothing

According to the time series data points of land supply in Danzhou city over the years, the land supply presents a nonlinear trend, so quadratic exponential smoothing is used to predict the total supply. At the same time, considering that the number of items in the original series is small (less than15Item), initial valueS0Using the average of the first three periods, smoothing coefficientaAccording to the changing trend, choose0.6till/extremely0.8Between, this choice.0.7Forecast, smoothing results are as follows:

tableeightResults Table of Quadratic Exponential Smoothing for Residential Land

Quadratic exponential smoothing

151.623

118.8476

63.8852

112.1455

108.3931

65.5534

34.0354

23.7603

18.1172

According to the above results, analyze and predict,2023Supply of commercial service land in Danzhou City in=(2*33.4722-18.1172)+(0.4/0.6)*(33.4722-18.1172)=59.0639Ha.

Grey model method

Grey model method is used to establish grey.GM(1,1) model,GM(1,1) The essence of the model is to generate the original data in a cumulative way, so that the generated data series presents a certain law. The curves of each data series can be approximated by typical curves, and then the approximated curves are used as models. Finally, the predicted values of the model are reduced and reduced once to predict the system. According to the tablesevenThe data in the grey model is established, and the prediction model is obtained as followsx(t+1)=-630.407080exp(-0.157355t)+782.030080. After calculation,2023The total annual demand for commercial service land is19.0282Ha.

Determination of supply

There is a certain gap between the supply of commercial service land predicted by exponential smoothing method and grey model method, so the supply is determined by weighted average method, and the weight of the prediction result by exponential smoothing method is0.3, the weight of grey model prediction results is0.7, so2023Annual supply of commercial service land in Danzhou, namely59.0639hektare×0.3+19.0282hektare×0.7=31.0388Ha.

(four) public management and total supply forecast of public service land

2012till/extremely2022The land supply table for public management and public service in Danzhou City in is as follows.

tableninePublic management and public service land supply table

Supply area (hectare)

4.8859

8.3252

6.2912

23.3274

73.0472

4.8624

277.4393

38.4855

24.5158

52.935

61.6935

picturesixTrend diagram of public management and public service land supply

As can be seen from the above table, the annual land supply for public management and public service is not regular, and it is basically on demand. Therefore, the demand forecast for public management and public service land adopts the quota index method, combined with the supply of public management and public service land in recent years and the declarations of various departments.2023Comprehensive determination of annual land demand, etc.2023The annual land supply for public management and public service in Danzhou City is160.7153Ha.

(five) Forecast of the total supply of transportation land

2012till/extremely2021The land supply table for public management and public service in Danzhou City in is as follows.

table10Transportation land supply table

Supply area (hectare)

15.5478

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

402.8138

228.2059

375.3252

picturesevenChange chart of transportation land supply trend

As can be seen from the above table, the annual land supply of transportation land is not regular, and it is basically supplied on demand. Therefore, the demand forecast of transportation land adopts the quota index method, combined with the supply of transportation land in recent years and the declarations of various departments.2023Comprehensive determination of annual land demand, etc.2023The annual transportation land supply in Danzhou City is1157.426Ha.

(six) Prediction of total land supply for water areas and water conservancy facilities

According to the statistical analysis of previous land supply data in our city, only2022Annual supply of water areas and land for water conservancy facilities80.9784Hectares, the regularity of land supply is not strong, and it is basically on-demand supply. Therefore, the quota index method is adopted in this water area and water conservancy facilities land demand forecast, combined with the declaration of various departments.2023Comprehensive determination of annual land demand, etc.2023The annual land supply for water areas and water conservancy facilities in Danzhou City is7.5313Ha.

(seven) Prediction of total supply of special land

2012till/extremely2022The supply table of special land in Danzhou City in is as follows.

table11Special land supply table

Supply area (hectare)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

6.6349

0.0000

0.0000

22.0647

0.0000

16.0755

0.0000

pictureeightChange chart of special land supply trend

As can be seen from the above table, the annual land supply regularity of special land is not strong, and this kind of land is not supplied every year. Therefore, the quota index method is adopted for this special land demand forecast, combined with the supply of special land in recent years and the declarations of various departments.2023Comprehensive determination of annual land demand, etc.2023The annual supply of special land in Danzhou City is2.0013Ha.

(eight) Determination of the total supply of construction land

Prediction of total supply of construction land

According to the above forecast results of commercial service land, residential land, industrial and mining storage land, public management and public service land, transportation land, water area and water conservancy facilities land and special land,2023The annual total supply of state-owned construction land in Danzhou City is1438.8076Ha, see the table below.

tabletwelveDanzhou city2023Annual forecast of total supply of construction land

one

shangfu land

18.0643

2

mining warehouse land

71.9879

three

residential land

31.0388

four

Public management and public service land

160.7153

five

Transportation land

1157.426

six

Land for waters and water conservancy facilities

7.5313

seven

Special land use

2.0013

total

1448.7649

Determination of total supply of construction land

Declared by various departments after analysis2023Annual land demand,2023In the city’s construction land demand for1973.1793Hectares, more than the total forecast.524.4144Ha, see the table below for details:

table13Danzhou city2023Annual Table of Total Land Demand of Various Departments

one

shangfu land

109.4474

2

mining warehouse land

446.8173

three

residential land

89.2407

four

Public management and public service land

160.7153

five

Transportation land

1157.426

six

Land for waters and water conservancy facilities

7.5313

seven

Special land use

2.0013

total

1973.1793

Through comparison, Danzhou City is finally determined from the perspective of ensuring social and economic development of Danzhou City, taking into account the economical and intensive land use and actual demand.2023The total annual demand for state-owned construction land is1973.1793Ha (see table below), of which the predicted value of commercial service land is18.0643Hectares, there is a big gap between the actual demand and the demand declared by various departments. Therefore, based on the demand declared by various departments this year, it is decided to adjust the commercial service land to109.4474Hectares; The predicted value of industrial and mining storage land is71.9879Hectares, there is a big gap with the demand declared by various departments. Therefore, based on the demand declared by various departments this year, it is decided to adjust the industrial, mining and storage land to446.8173Hectares; The predicted value of residential land is31.0388Hectares, there is a big gap with the actual demand, and considering the requirements of affordable housing construction, it is decided to adjust the residential land to89.2407Hectares; The remaining public management and public service land, transportation land, water area and water conservancy facilities land and special land have not changed.

table14Danzhou city2023The annual plan to supply the total amount of construction land.

one

shangfu land

109.4474

2

mining warehouse land

446.8173

three

residential land

89.2407

four

Public management and public service land

160.7153

five

Transportation land

1157.426

six

Land for waters and water conservancy facilities

7.5313

seven

Special land use

2.0013

total

1973.1793

Seven, planning results

(A) the total supply of construction land

2023The annual planned supply area of state-owned construction land in Danzhou City is1973.1793Ha, of which the stock of construction land.95.7803Ha, new construction land1877.3990Ha.

(B) Construction land supply structure

According to the supply structure,2023State-owned construction land planned to be supplied in 2008, medium and commercial service land.109.4474Hectares, proportion5.55%; residential land89.2407Hectares, proportion4.52%; mining warehouse land446.8173Hectares, proportion22.64%; Public management and public service land160.7153Hectares, proportion8.14%; Transportation land1157.426Hectares, proportion58.66%; Land for waters and water conservancy facilities7.5313Hectares, proportion0.38%;Special land use2.0013Hectares, proportion0.11%.

(3) Layout of construction land supply

From the perspective of supply layout, the supply of state-owned construction land is mainly distributed in Yangpu area, that large area and Wang Wu Industrial Park, among which Yangpu area accounts for the largest proportion, with an area of1183.9075Hectares; That large area is second, with an area of258.5426Ha.

(D) Construction land supply mode

The supply methods of state-owned construction land include allocation, transfer, lease, investment at a fixed price or shareholding. According to the provisions on transferring the right to use state-owned construction land through bidding, auction and listing (Decree No.39), industrial, commercial clothing, tourism, entertainment and commercial housing and other business land must be sold in the form of bidding, auction and hanging. Therefore, the commercial clothing land, commercial housing land and industrial and mining storage land supplied this year will be sold in the form of bidding, auction and hanging. Judging from the relevant forms collected, the land projects in public management and public service land, transportation land, water area and water conservancy facilities land and special land all meet the allocation requirements, and the land will be supplied by allocation. To sum up,2023In the total supply of state-owned construction land in Danzhou City in the year, land is supplied by means of transfer.591.126Hectares, by way of allocation for land.1382.0533Ha.

Toyota SUV has finally reduced its price! From 129,800 to 70,000, oil

Super-hot car in 2024
To talk about the particularly hot models in 2024, many people may think of the Great Wall H6 and Bi.

Yadiyuan, or Geely Haoyue L or something. But in fact, these domestic cars have been on fire for a long time. What really caused a sensation was Toyota’s new corolla sharp release. This car has a new situation-the price is big and diving! From the original 129,800 to 70,000. This price reduction really surprised me. It seems that Toyota is really cruel this time! I have to say that the Toyota SUV at this price is really quite sincere. Although the size is slightly smaller than that of Haval H6 or Changan CS75 PLUS, the length of the car is 4460mm, the width is 1825mm and the wheelbase is 2640mm, but for home use, it is also adequate. Coupled with the influence of Toyota brand, I think many consumers have to be moved by it.
Appearance appearance
To tell the truth, it’s my first time to go back to the super hot car in 2024.
To talk about the particularly hot cars in 2024, many people may think of the Great Wall H6, BYD Yuan, or Geely Haoyue L or something. But in fact, these domestic cars have been on fire for a long time. What really caused a sensation was Toyota’s new corolla sharp release. This car has a new situation-the price is big and diving! From the original 129,800 to 70,000. This price reduction really surprised me. It seems that Toyota this time

It’s really cruel! I have to say that the Toyota SUV at this price is really quite sincere. Although the size is slightly smaller than that of Haval H6 or Changan CS75 PLUS, the length of the car is 4460mm, the width is 1825mm and the wheelbase is 2640mm, but for home use, it is also adequate. Coupled with the influence of Toyota brand, I think many consumers have to be moved by it.
Appearance appearance
To tell you the truth, when I first saw the photos put by Carola Rui in credithelp.CN, I thought I was mistaken. Although this car is called Carol 003770.CN, its design is different from the traditional Corolla. The front of the car has got a black honeycomb grille with sporty style in 851216.CN, and the lines on the side are also quite emotional, which looks a bit like a small RAVcc694.CN4 The design of the rear of the car is quite simple. There is no penetrating pbhpw.CN taillight that is popular now, and there is no exaggerated exhaust pipe decoration. This low-key style is quite in line with the style of Toyota wg941.CN. Personally, I think this design not only retains the characteristics of Toyota ppxngz.CN, but also adds some sports flavor, which is quite attractive. Especially for those young consumers who want Toyota’s anarkn.CN quality and don’t want to be too dull, it should be quite attractive.
Interior qnjfb.CN is equipped.

Frankly speaking, if we only talk about the exquisiteness and sense of science and technology of the interior, zhangbaohai.CN can’t compare with the domestic SUV at the same price. However, it is not without some bright spots. Pytct.CN’s 7-inch digital LCD instrument panel, coupled with a 10.25-inch suspended gxz11.CN central control panel, looks quite classy. And support the function of mobile phone interconnection, which is definitely enough for dongxin1688.CN to use. I think it’s wise for Toyota to do this. After all, its target customers in zhongzhilai.CN may value practicality and reliability more than fancy configurations. As fanyazj.CN said, a system that is too complicated is easy to go wrong, so it is better to be simple and practical, hzstzs.CN.
power system
When it comes to power, the 1.2Lojizh.CN self-priming engine is installed in the Corolla sharp fuel release version, with a maximum power of 171 HP, which is enough for this class of cars. However, I personally prefer the dual-engine hybrid version. It uses a 2.0Llianxinxue.CN hybrid system, plus E-

CVT gearbox, the comprehensive maximum power can reach joypr.CN196 horsepower. This power level can be compared with that of some 2.0T fuel vehicles in 638650.CN. As a frequent driver, I think this power output is quite reasonable. It’s absolutely no problem for xqus.CN to drive normally, and it won’t fall off the chain at the critical moment. Moreover, the fuel economy c3fx.CN of the hybrid system is also quite good, the fuel consumption per 100 kilometers is only 4.1 liters, which is equivalent to only 30 cents per kilometer, and pkxwc.CN still uses No.92 oil.
Benefits of hybrid technology
Although many people are chasing the plug-in hybrid sbvod.CN now, I feel that Toyota insists on using the dual-engine hybrid technology for a reason. First of all, this etpjf.CN system has been verified for so many years, and its reliability is beyond saying. Secondly, its fuel economy has been very strong in nonishop.CN, and it is completely sufficient for normal use. Most importantly, don’t worry about the mrg1.CN life of the battery. I know several friends who drive hybrid cars, and their biggest headache is the attenuation of the electric bfxfq.CN pool. In contrast, Toyota’s dual-engine hybrid is much more worry-free. Considering the popularity of charging piles in 747582.CN, for most users, this self-charging hybrid system may be more practical.
# Golden Autumn Graphic Contest #

Shouzheng Innovation Technology Breakthrough Convergence Communication 2019 Spring Festival Evening Press Conference Held

  "Strive for a new era and celebrate a happy year", and the Spring Festival Gala in 2019 is about to kick off. On January 31st, CCTV held a press conference for the Spring Festival Gala in 2019, introducing the highlights of this year’s Spring Festival Gala program and a number of technological innovations and applications, and announced the host lineup of the Spring Festival Gala. Relevant leaders of Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China attended the conference, and the leaders of the Central Radio and Television General Station and the head of the creative team of the Spring Festival Evening introduced the relevant situation.

  Ingenious creation to create a quality program for the Spring Festival Evening

  CCTV Spring Festival Gala will accompany you for the New Year. As always, the Spring Festival Gala will bid farewell to the old year and welcome the new year with the audience accompanying the family reunion on New Year’s Eve. This year’s Spring Festival Gala is rich in program forms, with beautiful song and dance programs, majestic and magnificent, and wonderful magic acrobatics. Whether it’s the opening and the colorful flowers at zero o’clock, or the celebration of the whole world and the joy of all over the world in the three venues, a colorful and interesting artistic picture scroll has been laid out.

  Language programs, which are most concerned by the society and loved by the audience, have also made new breakthroughs this year, showing gratifying results of new people coming forth in large numbers and full of jokes. In terms of subject matter, it is closely related to the hotspots of people’s livelihood and the atmosphere of the times. In the performance lineup, not only the comedian "running with the bulls", who was loved by the audience but rarely appeared on the stage of CCTV Spring Festival Evening, but also the major comedy teams from all over the country gathered together for a "lively and happy reunion".

  Song and dance programs also usher in the most powerful performance lineup. The younger generation of "dream catchers" who strive for happiness and achieve the future with hard work will be full of youthful vitality and positive sunshine, and will sing the Spring Festival Evening stage.

△2019 Spring Festival Evening host lineup announced

△2019 Spring Festival Evening host lineup announced

  The long-awaited host lineup of the 2019 Spring Festival Evening was also announced at the press conference. Kang Hui, Zhu Xun, Ren Luyu, Li Sisi and Nigmat will be the hosts of the main venue in Beijing, and the Jinggangshan branch venue in Jiangxi will be co-hosted by Zhang Yu, the host of the Central Radio and Television Station, and Yin Song, the host of Jiangxi Radio and Television Station. Jilin Changchun Branch will be co-chaired by Zhang Zequn, the host of Central Radio and Television Station, and john young, the host of Jilin Radio and Television Station; John young, the host of China Central Radio and Television Station, and Pang Wei, the host of Shenzhen Satellite TV, will co-chair the Guangdong Shenzhen Branch.

△ Jeikiy, member and deputy editor-in-chief of CCTV Branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, introduced the preparations for the 2019 Spring Festival Gala.

△ Jeikiy, member and deputy editor-in-chief of CCTV Branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, introduced the preparations for the 2019 Spring Festival Gala.

  Jeikiy, a member of the party group and deputy editor-in-chief of CCTV General Radio and Television Station, said when introducing the preparations for the 2019 Spring Festival Gala: "This year’s Spring Festival Gala will adhere to integrity and innovation in all aspects from the scale of the party to the programming, from the cast to the theme content, and persist in carrying forward the main theme and delivering positive energy. I believe it will present the audience with a New Year carnival full of laughter and artistic essence."

  Breakthrough in technological innovation presents unprecedented audio-visual effects.

  Jiang Wenbo, a member of the CCTV branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, introduced at the press conference: "The technical team of the Spring Festival Evening in 2019 has been pursuing the application of the latest technology and the most advanced equipment to the production of the Spring Festival Evening program in 2019, in order to create better program services." It can be said that one of the biggest highlights of this year’s Spring Festival Gala is all-round technology drive and technological innovation.

△ Jiang Wenbo, a member of the CCTV branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, introduced the key technological innovation and application of the Spring Festival Evening in 2019.

△ Jiang Wenbo, a member of the CCTV branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, introduced the key technological innovation and application of the Spring Festival Evening in 2019.

  The creative team of the Spring Festival Evening actively carried out the instruction spirit of the Supreme Leader General Secretary that "the mainstream media must keep up with the times, boldly use new technologies, new mechanisms and new models, accelerate the pace of integration and development, and maximize and optimize the publicity effect", and made technological innovations in 4K, 5G, VR, AR, AI and other aspects, which really brought a perfect combination of art and technology to the Spring Festival Evening. Jeikiy, member and deputy editor-in-chief of the CCTV branch of the Central Radio and Television General Station, said: "This is a powerful connection between technological innovation and artistic innovation on the human cultural and artistic corridor, and it is also an important innovation in the history of the Spring Festival Evening."

  This year, the Spring Festival Evening will be broadcast live on 4K Ultra HD channel for the first time, and 5.1 surround sound will be used throughout. If users watch the Spring Festival Evening program through the 4K Ultra HD Channel (CCTV-4K) of the Central Radio and Television General Station and configure 4K Ultra HD images +5.1 surround sound, they can bring higher definition, wider color gamut and higher dynamic range video and surround sound audio experience, and they can enjoy the audio-visual effect of the cinema at home.

  Under the background of the latest and most advanced development trend of mobile communication, the rapid development of 5G network, China Central Radio and Television General Station signed a framework agreement for the cooperation and construction of 5G new media platform with China Telecom, China Mobile, China Unicom and Huawei at the end of 2018, creating China’s first national-level 5G new media platform, and this 5G network has also been tested and applied in the content transmission of the Spring Festival Evening Branch. On January 13th, the 4K TV transmission test of 5G network was successfully carried out in Shenzhen Branch of the Spring Festival Evening. On New Year’s Eve, two 4K seats based on 5G network will be included in the production system of Shenzhen Branch for the 4K TV live broadcast of the Spring Festival Evening. On January 28th, the real-time transmission of 5G network VR was successfully carried out in Changchun Branch. Users can see the ultra-high-definition VR panoramic signal transmitted through the 5G network in the live broadcast of CCTV news’s media-integrated program "I want to watch the Spring Festival Evening", which is the first time that the 5G network and VR production technology are combined in the live broadcast of TV media-integrated programs. These innovations will bring a refreshing and exciting audio-visual experience to the Spring Festival Evening in 2019.

  In addition, the technology of this year’s Spring Festival Gala has achieved many breakthroughs. Intelligent speech recognition subtitle production technology was applied for the first time in the Spring Festival Evening. For the first time, 4K Ultra HD AR online packaging technology was used; Fully use a number of special equipment such as Aquila and drones for shooting; Using 4K ultra-high definition main screen and a large number of ice screens in the studio hall No.1 of the main venue will bring fantastic stage effects to the Spring Festival Evening.

  During the Chinese New Year, the CCTV Square Building and CCTV Tower in Fuxing Road Office of the Central Radio and Television General Station will be launched to "celebrate the new era of China!" The light show with the theme of "CCTV Spring Festival Evening with you at the Central Radio and Television General Station" presents a solemn, festive and shocking three-dimensional effect, creating a festive and strong festive atmosphere.

  Integrate and spread the whole media to feel the charm of the Spring Festival Evening.

  This year’s Spring Festival Evening is the first Spring Festival Evening after the establishment of the Central Radio and Television General Station. On the one hand, the Spring Festival Evening communication will be based on the all-media resources of the Central Radio and Television General Station, and multi-platform cooperation will realize the multi-mode, multi-terminal, three-dimensional and full-coverage communication of the Spring Festival Evening. On the other hand, in order to accelerate the development of media integration, this year’s Spring Festival Evening will also actively innovate and develop the content and communication style of media integration, showing the characteristics of multi-screen interaction of media integration.

△ Wang Xiaozhen, director of the CCTV editorial office of the Central Radio and Television General Station, released the all-media communication plan for this Spring Festival Evening.

△ Wang Xiaozhen, director of the CCTV editorial office of the Central Radio and Television General Station, released the all-media communication plan for this Spring Festival Evening.

  On New Year’s Eve, CCTV comprehensive channel, variety channel, Chinese international channel, military agricultural channel, children’s channel and 4K ultra-high-definition channel will broadcast live the Spring Festival Evening in parallel, and CCTV multi-platform, CCTV audio-visual client, CCTV news client and CCTV news mobile network will also broadcast live simultaneously around the world. In terms of broadcasting, Yangguang China Communications Broadcasting will broadcast the Spring Festival Evening in full synchronization with audio. The voice of China, the voice of literature and art, and the global Chinese information of Guoguang will be inserted into the special program of New Year’s Eve.

  During the live broadcast of the Spring Festival Evening, CCTV News and CCTV will edit and package the Spring Festival Evening programs and highlights in real time with the broadcast process, and release them on the mobile terminal in the form of short videos. Users can not only participate in the online red envelope grabbing interaction during the live broadcast, but also review short videos at various mobile terminals and forward them to friends and relatives. After the broadcast of the Spring Festival Evening, the main station will launch nearly 50 short video contents of "micro-variety" and "micro-documentary" with the brand of the Spring Festival Evening as the core, introduce the front and back scenes of the Spring Festival Evening, and invite the actors of the Spring Festival Evening to pay a New Year call to the audience. After the broadcast of the Spring Festival Evening, the Spring Festival Evening team and CCTV news new media will also launch a small video to reveal the magic, acrobatics, dance, lighting and special effects of the Spring Festival Evening, so as to satisfy the audience’s curiosity before and after the Spring Festival Evening.

△ Wang Qiang, Deputy Director of Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Literature and Art Bureau, spoke at the press conference.

△ Wang Qiang, Deputy Director of Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Literature and Art Bureau, spoke at the press conference.

  In the Spring Festival Evening of 2019, we will always adhere to the program keynote of "Happy, Auspicious and Happy", always take the satisfaction of the people as the greatest goal, always adhere to the creative concept of innovation and openness, and make every effort to achieve cross-screen gala.

  I believe that the Spring Festival Evening in 2019 will definitely bring you new and wonderful memories.

An international conference in April and a local investigation were all related to this matter.

  On April 25th, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader, who was investigating in Guangxi, came to Di Yang Wharf of Lijiang River in Yangshuo County, Guilin City to listen to the report on the comprehensive management and ecological protection of Lijiang River basin.

  "In the face of unprecedented difficulties in global environmental governance, the international community should take responsibility and work together to build a community of human and natural life with unprecedented ambition and action." A few days ago, president’s supreme leader pointed out this when attending the leaders’ climate summit in Beijing by video.

  On the evening of April 22nd, at the invitation of US President Biden, the Supreme Leader of president attended the Leaders’ Climate Summit by video and delivered an important speech entitled "Building a Community of Man and Nature together".

  No matter at home or abroad, the Supreme Leader General Secretary has repeatedly stood at the height of global ecological civilization construction, advocated building a community of human and natural life together, and constantly contributed China wisdom and China’s strength to creating a new pattern of global environmental governance.

  Promoting the construction of ecological civilization in the largest developing country "will have a worldwide impact".

  "The river is a green ribbon, and the mountains are like jasper." The general secretary of the supreme leader has always been concerned about the protection and comprehensive management of the ecological environment in the Lijiang River Basin.

  "When I was a teenager, I had been to the Lijiang River with several classmates. I remember that after swimming, clothes were dried on the banks of Lijiang River. At that time, the river was blue, and the floodlight bottomed out. " During the National People’s Congress in March 2010, the Supreme Leader recalled the unforgettable experience of visiting the Lijiang River as a teenager.

  Later, the Lijiang River was once seriously polluted, even the water level dropped, and it was only after unremitting governance that it was restored. The general secretary told us that the Lijiang River is not only the Lijiang River of Guangxi people, but also the Lijiang River of the people of the whole country and the whole world, and it is also a natural heritage shared by all mankind. We must take care of the Lijiang River and protect it scientifically.

  From the Yangtze River to the Yellow River, from the Lijiang River to the Wujiang River, from Dianchi Lake to Erhai Lake, from Hulun Lake to Dongting Lake, from Qilian Mountain to Qinling Mountain, from Helan Mountain to Wuyishan &hellip; &hellip; The ecological changes in China reflect the historic, turning and overall changes in China’s ecological environment protection.

  As a participant, contributor and leader of global ecological civilization construction, China has made unremitting efforts to build a community of human and natural life with practical actions. "Promoting the construction of ecological civilization in our largest developing country with a population of more than 1.3 billion and building a prosperous, strong, democratic, civilized, harmonious and beautiful socialist modern power will have a worldwide impact." In May 2018, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader pointed out at the National Ecological Environmental Protection Conference.

  Nowadays, China has incorporated the concept and construction of ecological civilization into the overall layout of Socialism with Chinese characteristics, and adhered to the development path of ecological priority, green and low carbon. China’s announcement that it will strive to achieve peak carbon dioxide emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060 is a major strategic decision based on promoting the building of a community of human destiny and achieving sustainable development, which requires China’s hard work.

  "Explore the synergy between environmental protection and economic development, job creation and poverty eradication"

  During this inspection, the local responsible comrades told the General Secretary that in recent years, Guilin has vigorously promoted the "chaos control, water control, mountain control and root cause" of the Lijiang River, and comprehensively cleaned up and rectified quarries and illegal sand mining. The supreme leader pointed out that the worst thing is quarrying. Destroy a mountain and there will never be such a mountain. China and the whole world are such a treasure, so don’t destroy it.

  For quarrying, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader is deeply touched.

  In the 1990s, Yucun in Anji, Zhejiang Province became the richest village in Anji by blasting mountains for mining and building cement plants, at the cost of "villagers dare not open windows, and even bamboo shoots are not long on the mountains". In August 2005, the Supreme Leader came to the village and heard that Yucun had changed from "selling stones" to "selling scenery", which was quite touching. During this inspection, the Supreme Leader clearly put forward the "Lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets" for the first time, stressing that economic growth should not be promoted at the expense of the environment.

  Anji Yucun is a representative of the "Thousand Villages Demonstration and Ten Thousand Villages Renovation" project personally promoted by the Supreme Leader during his work in Zhejiang. In 2018, the "Thousand Villages Demonstration and Ten Thousand Villages Renovation" project won the "Guardian of the Earth Award", the highest environmental honor of the United Nations. In the award speech, it was commented: "This extremely successful ecological restoration project shows that bringing environmental protection and economic development together will produce transformative forces."

  "Explore the synergy between protecting the environment and developing the economy, creating jobs and eradicating poverty, strive to achieve social fairness and justice in the process of green transformation, and increase people’s sense of gain, happiness and security in all countries." Chairman Supreme Leader’s speech at the Leaders’ Climate Summit reached the hearts of the people.

  "Leave a clean and beautiful world to future generations"

  "All countries should establish a new development concept of innovation, coordination, green, openness and sharing, seize the historic opportunity of a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, and promote the post-epidemic world economy &lsquo; Green recovery &rsquo; , bringing together a strong synergy for sustainable development. " In September, 2020, the Supreme Leader’s speech at the general debate of the 75th United Nations General Assembly pointed out the direction for global environmental governance.

  "The construction of ecological civilization is related to the future of mankind. Building a green home is the common dream of mankind. Protecting the ecological environment and coping with climate change require the concerted efforts of all countries in the world. No country can stay out of it and be immune to it." Adhering to the concept of "teaching people to fish" and through pragmatic and efficient cooperation, China has done its best to help developing countries improve their ability to cope with climate change and achieved fruitful results. From climate remote sensing satellites in Africa to low-carbon demonstration zones in Southeast Asia to energy-saving lamps in small island countries, China’s South-South cooperation on climate change is tangible and effective.

  Human beings are a community of destiny, and protecting the ecological environment is a common challenge and responsibility facing the whole world. Regarding the construction of ecological civilization, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader has always stressed the need to "calculate the big account, calculate the long-term account, calculate the overall account and calculate the comprehensive account" and "work for the overall situation and future generations".

  "I firmly believe that as long as we think in one place and work hard in one place, mankind will be able to cope with the global climate and environmental challenges and leave a clean and beautiful world to future generations." The powerful words of the General Secretary have condensed confidence and strength for global environmental governance at key nodes.

Interview with the director of Sauvignon Blanc | Why did Andy’s new drama break the record?


Special feature of 1905 film network After the series "Sauvignon Blanc" was launched, it broke the record of the highest heat value in the station in 2023 with the fastest speed.Perhaps, at the moment when the platform record is constantly being broken, it is not urgent to give feedback in the first week to prove whether a drama is really "explosive".


Just from the current market feedback, the performance of "Sauvignon Blanc" is from the content of the series, the role itself to the actors, and it is multi-dimensional on the hot search list. To a large extent, the original author Tong Hua personally wrote the script, which shows that the "mother" went into battle and provided the original blessing protection for the work.



Just after entering the film and television, how to make the characters and plots more prominent while ensuring the original flavor of the story?


Zhen Qin, the general director, said frankly in an interview with 1905 Film Network, "Before shooting, the producer and I agreed that we should make a more realistic new costume. Although the story is mythical, it should become a more grounded story."



In addition, Zhen Qin has only one standard for actors, "appropriate". She told us that "almost every actor has submitted a biography of their understanding of this role." When she finished reading the "homework" handed in by everyone, "everyone gave me different surprises".


When the creation began, the story of Sauvignon Blanc was opened in another way.


01. Creation guarantee is implemented


Before contacting the script, Zhen Qin finished reading three original novels. "They have done scripts for many years before, and the content is very complete." The script is still promoted according to the framework of the novel. "It’s just that we will explain the pre-story history in the first episode."


It is the pre-historical setting of the first episode that laid a solid emotional foundation for the story of Sauvignon Blanc.



It abandons the appeal of stars and presents the whole story with small actors, so that the audience can better cut into the role and provide an empathetic basis for the emotions behind. In the past drama market, there were occasional creative forms like this. It was a challenge for producers to weaken the appeal of stars, but it was a valuable creation for the integrity of the story.


After all, for the story development, the emotional development among many characters needs more convincing promotion and emotional logic, at least for the content currently broadcast in Sauvignon Blanc, this task has been completed.



Entering the preparatory period of shooting, Zhen Qin and the team are facing the biggest problem, "How do we make the famous scenes taste what the novel should have?"


To this end, the team deliberately made various preparations from all aspects, from art scenes to actors’ costumes, and even the emotions of actors. "We will have some designs and considerations in advance." Most of the famous scenes in the novel are written descriptions, which, combined with the readers’ imagination, present the artistic conception to everyone’s private picture.


Only when the film and television are visualized, especially those artistic images, "I will communicate with the photographer in advance to make him ready in advance, and make some different changes in the lighting set."



Moreover, Zhen Qin and the producers agreed to build a clear water town for Sauvignon Blanc.Although the story of "Sauvignon Blanc" spans the three realms of man, god and demon, for Zhen Qin, "it is still necessary to implement everything as much as possible."


"We visited a lot of venues in Hengdian, and none of them were Qingshui Town in my heart." More than ten episodes of "Sauvignon Blanc" took place in Qingshui Town, which is a place that Xiaoyao still misses after becoming Ji Wang. "It is a very natural, simple and smoky place."



In order to visualize this, Zhen Qin and the team presented Clearwater very vividly according to the script. The geographical location of each scene is arranged to ensure that the audience can feel the body when watching as much as possible, and at the same time, it can meet all the shooting needs.


02. The heroine is the key to the drama.


"Sauvignon Blanc" is a drama series with the growth of the heroine as the main line. It is conceivable that the choice of the heroine is the key.


In the cooperation with Andy, Zhen Qin found that "she is a talented actress and loves acting very much." Facts have proved the director’s cognition. "From the beginning of contact, Andy took the script very seriously and used her as a super actor’s perception to grasp every scene."



Andy is divided into two corners, one is a real little Yao, and the other is a small six. The nature of the two roles is completely different, so the whole setting requires the actors to constantly adjust the state of the matching roles.


It’s not uncommon to decorate two corners with one ornament in the theme of ancient dolls, but this time it’s not easy. "The role of Xiao Liu is a man, not a man disguised as a woman." Fortunately, in order to find a suitable degree, Andy and the director "adjusted a scene, and let her perform it for the first time. After communication, the second time will be natural."



Not only that, the director also made a lot of assistance for Andy from the makeup, and made her look more playful from the modeling, covering up the curvaceous beauty of women with loose clothes such as radish pants. Andy even offered to make the makeup look darker and closer to the makeup of other male characters around him.


Only after 14 episodes, Xiao Liu recovered herself and returned to Xiao Yao’s state, Andy did not directly present the female role, but gradually changed from inadaptability to complete femininity in action and personality, and realized the transformation.



In the early communication, Andy made a lot of his own interpretations of this role, and these interpretations happened to point to the director’s ideas. In Zhen Qin’s view, whether it’s Xiao Liu, who is optimistic and lively, or Wang Ji Xiaoyao, who has a more sense of mission, "their background color is compassionate".


This is also the place where she found it difficult to shoot this series after reading the novel "Sauvignon Blanc", which is also the temperament of "Sauvignon Blanc". It’s just that temperament is difficult to grasp, but fortunately, whether it’s the shooting process or the later editing stage, Zhen Qin is very at ease. "Andy has completed the feeling in my mind."


03. The charm of male roles


In "Sauvignon Blanc", the three male characters and the female host have more or less fetters. Although the novel finally gives the final official match, in the hearts of book fans, each pair of cp is worth pursuing.


"Our people are very extreme, everyone is not perfect, and they all have their own shackles. But I think everyone is very real, so how to make the audience believe that they are real and understand their feelings and positions is what we value more. " Therefore, the casting of the team becomes more difficult.



Xie Da (ornaments) is extremely ambitious, and he is entangled and forbearing from his proton identity to his family and country. In the novel, Daida once said to Xiaoyao, "Every time I get married, I forbid you to say’ congratulations’, let alone send a gift." This sentence has also become the most touching Zhen Qin’s words. "In fact, it is very forbearing, and ultimately love is not allowed."


Although in the previous story, the story line of Xianda was not clear, and the behavior of the character was not pleasing, but as the story slowly opened, "everyone will like Xianda." In Zhen Qin’s view, Zhang Wanyi is an actor with great personality charm. "He has his own expression. In him, I think there is a temperament similar to that of a tortoise."



On the contrary, as an official match, the feelings between Tu Shanjing (ornaments) and Xiao Yao are more detailed. "Xiao Yao and his feelings are not always smooth sailing." When describing their drama, Zhen Qin used many metaphors to show their changes, especially from the long time when they met for treatment, and then to the early stage when Tu Shanying realized the other’s daughter’s body. "They all slowly changed slightly inside."


When casting for Tu Shanying, after Zhen Qin met Deng Wei, "I think he has the breezy temperament of Tu Shanying more than other boys. Deng Wei himself is a very simple and sincere person."



After the novel was published, phase liu (decorated) had many fans, and even Zhen Qin lamented, "phase liu has an artificial ceiling, which is difficult to present." Moreover, the description of phase liu in the novel is more of a temperament than a more practical description, which also leads to the fact that every book fan has his own phase liu in his heart.


Not only that, phase liu also has a double role, Fangfeng Tai. The two roles are cold and hot, which is a challenge for the actors.



In the end, the team chose JC-T to play this role. "He is very different from the role, but he has a strong sense of faith in his performance." Zhen Qin and JC-T had a deep talk about this character, and she found that the actor in front of her had a deep understanding of the role.


"He hopes that this kind of cold will not appear as facial paralysis. He tries to interpret the cold of phase liu and the heat of windproof in his own way." Because phase liu is a cold-hearted person, Fangfengtai, as a member, is a dude’s setting. On the surface, he looks lively, but his heart is still cold.



04. I hope the audience can really empathize.


In any case, just from the popularity of the broadcast platform, or the number of hot searches on the list, or the number of praises on the short video platform, Sauvignon Blanc has good results and feedback, just looking at the summer file, and it has its own unique style.


Zhen Qin admits that each play has its own characteristics. The reason why he wants to make Sauvignon Blanc a realistic new costume is, to a large extent, "whether I read a script or a novel, I feel that every character is very grounded and practical, and there is always a kind of temperament."



But it doesn’t mean to be realistic, and it will become a reality completely. After all, Sauvignon Blanc involves many spell settings. "We should burn, be young, but we should pursue reality, so our action plays pay attention to the combination of reality and reality."


Even as far as possible, in order to make the scenes on the seabed in the later stage of the series realistic, before starting, Zhen Qin and the photography team kept experimenting to simulate the buoyancy feeling of people on the seabed and the light and shadow effect. "We tried to shoot for a while, and then used the post-synthesis to see the effect. After finding the accurate mode, we began to invest in all-round shooting."



Back to the story itself, "I think each character in Sauvignon Blanc is to depict a different life in reality." Whether it is affection, friendship, or abusive and sweet love, the audience can get empathy from it.


Typhoon "Fireworks" moved into the East China Sea on the night of 23rd and approached the northern coast of Fujian.

  Cctv newsAccording to China Weather Network, the Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue a typhoon blue warning at 06: 00 on July 23:

  The center of this year’s No.6 typhoon "Fireworks" (strong typhoon level) is located at 5 o’clock this morning (23rd) in the northwest Pacific Ocean about 660 kilometers southeast of Wenling, Zhejiang Province, which is 23.7 degrees north latitude and 125.5 degrees east longitude. The maximum wind force near the center is 14 (42m/s), the lowest pressure in the center is 955 hectopascals, and the radius of the seven-level wind circle is 220-300 kilometers.

  It is estimated that "Fireworks" will move to the north-north direction at a speed of 5-10 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. The strongest one can reach a super typhoon level (16, 52-55 meters per second). It will move into the southeast of the East China Sea at night on the 23rd, then turn to the northwest, and gradually approach the coastal areas from northern Zhejiang to northern Fujian, and will land in the above coastal areas during the day on the 25th (typhoon level or strong typhoon level, 13. At present, it is impossible to completely rule out the possibility of going northward in the offshore waters of Zhejiang.

  Gale forecast: From 08: 00 on the 23rd to 08: 00 on the 24th, there will be 6-8 winds and gusts of 9-10 in the Taiwan Province Strait, east of bashi channel, Taiwan Province, the East China Sea and the waters near Diaoyu Island, the southern part of the Yellow Sea, the Yangtze River estuary, Hangzhou Bay, Shanghai coast, southern Jiangsu coast, Zhejiang coast, north-central Fujian coast and Taiwan Province island coast, among which the northeastern coast of Zhejiang, the southeastern part of the East China Sea and some waters east of Taiwan Province.

  Precipitation forecast: From 08: 00 on the 23rd to 08: 00 on the 24th, there will be heavy rainstorms in most parts of central and eastern Zhejiang and Taiwan Province Island, and heavy rainstorms in northern and central Taiwan Province Island, with heavy rainstorms (250-300mm) in parts of northern Taiwan Province Island.

  Defense guide:

  1. The government and relevant departments shall, in accordance with their duties, do a good job in typhoon prevention and emergency rescue.

  2. Water operations and passing ships in relevant waters should return to Hong Kong to take shelter from the wind, strengthen port facilities, and prevent ships from anchoring, grounding and collision.

  3. Stop large-scale indoor and outdoor gatherings and dangerous outdoor operations such as high altitude.

  4. Reinforce or dismantle structures that are easy to be blown by the wind. Personnel should not go out at will. They should stay in windproof and safe places as far as possible, so as to ensure that the elderly and children stay in the safest place at home, and the dangerous people will be transferred in time. When the typhoon center passes by, the wind will decrease or stay still for a period of time. Remember that the strong wind will suddenly blow, and you should continue to stay in a safe place to avoid the wind, and the dangerous people will be transferred in time.

  5. Relevant areas should pay attention to prevent flash floods and geological disasters that may be caused by heavy precipitation.

What kind of international healthy ecological island will Greater Tansa build? Ten-year industrial plan released

On July 15th, the Industrial Planning of Datansha International Healthy Ecological Island in Liwan District (hereinafter referred to as the Planning) was posted on the Internet. The Liwan District Development and Reform Bureau is responsible for organizing the preparation of the plan. The planning period is 2020-2030, and the publicity time is from July 15th to July 19th. If citizens have opinions, they can give feedback on their opinions and suggestions during the publicity period.
According to the plan, in recent years, the whole island of Datansha has taken the opportunity of urban renewal and transformation to comprehensively promote urban infrastructure construction and industrial upgrading and development on the island. At present, Liwan District Government and Singapore Kaide Group (one of the partners of Guangzhou Sino-Singapore Knowledge City) are accelerating the development and construction of the whole island, drawing on Singapore’s urban construction experience to create an "international garden island" and a "healthy ecological island". Zhong Nanshan, an academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences, led the Guangzhou Respiratory Center to settle in the island, and the international medical center was ready to emerge.
At present, the road network expansion has been completed in Datansha. The total planned length of newly-built and planned expanded roads in the whole island is about 26 kilometers, and air corridors are added in combination with the mode of separating people and vehicles. In addition, Baishahe Bridge, Bainihe Bridge and western expressway are planned and constructed. As the first contiguous intensive renovation project in Guangzhou, the planned total construction area of the village collective economic development land and commercial and financial land exceeds 2 million square meters, among which the first-phase renovation property has the start-up conditions and the supply of commercial land is sufficient, which is one of the largest carrier spaces in the central city of Guangzhou that can rely on the development of 3A hospitals.
Present situation of traffic in Grand Tansa
According to the plan, the industrial development of Grand Tansa Island has ushered in multiple benefits. The Outline of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Plan has further strengthened the pole-driving role of Guangzhou and Foshan. Guangzhou and Foshan will jointly build four trillion-level industrial clusters, such as biomedicine and health. Datansha Island and other areas will be included in the "Liwan-Nanhai" area, and the focus will be on building the Guangzhou-Foshan Golden Business District and the international high-end medical service demonstration area. At present, the core hinterland of the central axis of Datansha International Health Ecological Island has been included in the planning scope of Guangzhou, Hong Kong and Macao International Health Industry City. At the district level, Datansha International Healthy Ecological Island is an important node of White Swan Pond’s headquarters economic belt along the Yangtze River. Liwan will build an overall pattern of "one island, one port, one belt and multiple groups" for the development of medical and health industry, among which "one island" is Datansha Healthy Ecological Island, with the development focus on developing high-end service areas of industrial chain.
According to the plan, the industry of Datansha Island is positioned as a high-end healthy ecological island in the whole industrial chain of medicine, therapy, research, nutrition and tourism. By 2030, an international high-end health care service base with perfect functions, seamless connection and natural harmony will be established. Focusing on serving the international market and the health care needs of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao Dawan District, Guangzhou Respiratory Center and international high-end medical services, led by Academician Zhong Nanshan of Chinese Academy of Sciences, will promote the development of six industries, including rehabilitation, third-party medical examination and imaging, health management, training and scientific research, health tourism and old-age care, and health finance, and build an international high-end medical service center covering the whole life cycle and a leisure resort combining medical care with Lingnan characteristics.
Overall layout of Datansha healthy ecological island
Industrial Layout of Datansha Healthy Ecological Island
Focusing on Guangzhou Respiratory Center, assisted by international comprehensive medical care and high-end specialized medical care, supported by third-party independent medical service institutions such as physical examination and imaging, it will promote innovation in emerging fields such as smart medical care, precision medical care, regenerative medicine and genetic testing. Bring the existing village collective property alive, strengthen and expand the medical care and maintain the industrial chain, and mainly lay out private advanced hospitals, rehabilitation medical centers, private health management centers, maternal and child hospitals, confinement centers, specialist clinics, health research and development offices, rehabilitation hotel-style apartments, etc. The specialties are mainly high-end maternity hospitals, cancer diagnosis and treatment chain institutions, orthopedic hospitals and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular specialist hospitals.
Detailed plan of conceptual layout of industries around Guangzhou Respiratory Center
By 2030, it is predicted that the service revenue of medical and health industry will reach 50 billion yuan, of which: the annual revenue of enterprise headquarters in the core area of the industry is predicted to reach more than 20 billion yuan, the annual revenue of medical services is predicted to reach 8 billion yuan, and the annual revenue of non-medical services (third-party medical services, rehabilitation, health management, etc.) will reach 15 billion yuan. The medical service development area (old-age care, leisure and health, business travel, etc.) predicts that the annual revenue will reach 7 billion yuan.
Source: Guangzhou Daily
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The New Xuanyi Disassembly of the Disassembly Workshop Comments on the Model of Exam-oriented Education

  【Chexun. com reported】 What is exam-oriented education? Educational thoughts and educational behaviors aimed at coping with entrance examination test test students’ academic level by the rate of entrance examination. So, what about the design, workmanship and exam-oriented education of vehicles? Why did the editor make such an evaluation? Take it easy, let’s take our time.

  Points are the lifeblood of students; I believe that anyone will have a deep feeling about this. No matter what personal ability, everything depends on the hero of exam scores. A high score is a "good student" and a failure is a "bad student". Bump, the lifeblood of a car; For automobile products, it is also facing the test of various crash tests. If a model with outstanding appearance performance but low crash score is placed in front of you, it is estimated that it will not be purchased. Getting a high C-NCAP collision score in China is like getting a diploma from a famous university, so it’s no wonder that those who get an overseas NCAP diploma are complacent. Naturally, parents are also full of face and confidence. But exams are dead, and people are alive. Some parents will be "smart" to teach their children how to cope with the exam content. Next, we will learn what the new Sylphy students have learned under the guidance of "parents". Has morality, intelligence, physique, beauty and labor been fully developed?

  Bumper structure score before vehicle protection: 6 points

  The new Xuanyi bumper structure is composed of bumper skin, low-speed cushioning foam and metal bumper iron with energy-absorbing box, which is made of iron. Aside from the boring data, the quality of the bar iron can not be distinguished from the thickness, which is also directly related to the structure and material. Generally, our common bumper is made of iron. Considering the lightweight design, the models will be made of aluminum alloy, and the structural design of bar iron is mostly bow-shaped. We can clearly see that the front joint of the bumper has rusted, but it will not affect its function.

  The energy-absorbing box is also a good companion of bumper iron. At present, most of the dismantled models will have energy-absorbing boxes behind bumper iron. The function of energy-absorbing box is unusual. In the actual collision, it is mainly folded and absorbed by this component to transfer collision energy. To maximize the protection of the body rail and other important components. Bumpers and energy-absorbing boxes are like the muscle tissue of human body, and they hit the muscular man and the sparerib man equally. If the ribs of the sparerib man are broken, the muscular man may be safe. When the strength is too great for the anti-collision beam and energy-absorbing box to bear, it is necessary to rely on the structural strength of the car body to resist. When it is hit by a large force, the role of the bumper is only 10%. The most solid part is the car skeleton, like the human skeleton. As for the new sylphy skeleton, we will introduce it later.

  Careful netizens will find a problem. Is it strange to connect the energy-absorbing box? The following picture of the new sylphy bar iron is the new sagitar bumper structure. Observing that there is no gap between the energy-absorbing box and the flange, it is a face-to-face connection, while the new sylphy adopts a point-to-point connection. At this time, a question arises in the editor’s mind. For a single bar iron structure, if this connection mode collides, will it cause the energy-absorbing box and the flange to fall off, thus affecting the energy-absorbing effect?

  FAW-Volkswagen new sagitar bumper iron

  Just now we mentioned the problem of collision force transmission, and we will continue to consolidate this concept here. The front is impacted, and the front bumper distributes the force to the energy-absorbing boxes on both sides, and then transmits it to the left and right front side rails, and then to the vehicle body. The front longitudinal beam is the only medium between the bumper and the middle of the car body. In order to ensure the uniform dispersion of the force, the size and strength of the common left and right front longitudinal beams are designed to be the same. But have you ever heard that the left and right longitudinal beams are not as thick as each other? Don’t be surprised, the new sylphy is!

  The width of the left longitudinal beam of XinXuanYi is 58mm, and the width of the right longitudinal beam is 40mm. Why is the difference so wide? Is it the design requirement or something else? Before the analysis, let’s get familiar with the test items of C-NCAP. C-NCAP mainly tests the frontal collision test of 100% overlapping rigid barrier, frontal collision of 40% overlapping deformable barrier (driver’s side) and lateral collision test of deformable moving barrier. Does the red font attract your attention? The position of 40% offset collision is the driver’s side, that is, the left side. Can we think that the left longitudinal beam is designed to be wider because of the greatest impact force in the event of collision, and the right longitudinal beam is not in the scope of examination, which can save materials? If the 40% offset collision is increased on the right side, what about the performance of the new Sylphy? This problem can only be explained by the manufacturer.

  Editor’s summary: The structural design of the front bumper is special in that the energy-absorbing box is connected point to point, and there is doubt about the firmness during collision; I personally think that the design of the front longitudinal beam with different thicknesses is this "lightweight" an innovative design? Imagine if the right side 40% offset collision test is added, will the existing structural design be continued?

Media at home and abroad are widely concerned: the voice of Taiwan and the report of the Taiwan Railway accident on the new media platform of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait"

  On the morning of April 2, the 408 train of Taitung Railway "Taroko" derailed when it went to the Dashuishui Tunnel in Hualien County. The Central Radio and Television General Station continued to pay attention to the report of Taiwan Province Radio Station’s Voice of the Sea and the new media platform of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait". The Voice of the Sea first launched a special column "Directly Attacking the Taiwan Railway Accident: Finding the Families of the Casualties", rolling out the rescue progress and casualties sent by the reporters stationed at the General Station at the scene of the accident, and announcing the hotline to help find the families of the casualties; The new media platform of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" was released simultaneously at home and abroad. Related reports have been highly concerned by listeners and netizens at home and abroad. Many Taiwan Province listeners praised "The Voice of Taiwan and the Sea is a radio station with temperature" and "The hearts of compatriots on both sides of the strait are closely connected through radio waves and the Internet".

  In the past few days, the voice of Taiwan and the new media platform of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" have been closely linked, and "Sudden! The Taiwan Railway train derailed.
Several lives are at stake and many people are injured. The spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council expressed great concern about the 408 train derailment accident of the Taroko. The latest news of the derailment of the Taiwan Railway! 48 people showed no signs of life and 118 people were injured. The column "Direct Strike on the Taiwan Railway Accident: Looking for the Families of the Casualties" was launched by Voice of Taiwan. May the deceased rest in peace
The injured are safe. Mainland netizens are concerned about the casualties of the Taiwan Railway accident. The rescue work has come to an end temporarily. The cause of the accident has been initially identified. The rescuers who directly connected the Taiwan Railway train derailment accident on the spot have blood thicker than water.
More than ten reports, such as listening to friends on both sides of the strait and worrying about compatriots killed by the Taiwan Railway. At the first time, exclusive news such as "List of some victims of the 408 train derailment accident of Taitung Taroko" and "List of some injured people of the 408 train derailment accident of Taitung Taroko" were broadcast; Interview the only mainland passenger who was slightly injured in the accident at the first time, and broadcast an exclusive interview with "The Voice of the Sea at the Central Radio and Television General Station: The injured land was interviewed."

Recall the moment of the Taiwan Railway accident. Once the relevant reports were published, they attracted widespread attention from the media at home and abroad, and they were reprinted and quoted one after another. Hundreds of Taiwan Province listeners either called or posted messages asking about the casualties and expressing their concern.

  On April 3rd, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader expressed his condolences to the victims of the Taiwan Province Railway accident, and expressed condolences to the families of the victims and injured compatriots. After the launch of the headquarters network, the voice of Taiwan and the new media of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" were released at the first time, spreading the concerns of General Secretary of the Supreme Leader to the people of and the global audience, which triggered a warm response.

△ Macau Citizen Daily: General Secretary of the Supreme Leader expressed condolences to the victims in Taiwan.

△ Pakistan Economic Net: General Secretary of the Supreme Leader expressed condolences to the victims.

△ "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" WeChat public number

△ CCTV news client

  According to statistics, the special report of the Voice of Taiwan Sea and the new media platform of "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" and the related report of the General Station have been spread and released twice in domestic new media, with a magnification of 146 times and a total reading page view of 304 million times. Among them, the related content of "Directly Attacking the Taiwan Railway Accident: Looking for the Families of the Casualties" was read and viewed 1.57 million times, and the key manuscripts such as "List of some victims of the 408th train derailment accident of the Taiwan Railway" were read and viewed more than 2.85 million times in the CCTV news client and the two micro accounts of the main station.

Xiamen Studio of Voice of Taiwan Sea also cooperated with Taiwanese business associations in Fujian, Xiamen and other mainland countries to launch activities such as offering love to the victims of the Taiwan Railway accident. As of April 5, the relevant pledged amount has reached nearly 200,000 yuan.

△ The Voice of Taiwan and the Taiwan Business Association of the Mainland offer love to the victims of the Taiwan Railway accident.

  A number of mainstream media in Hong Kong and Macao reported the condolences of the Supreme Leader General Secretary to our compatriots in Taiwan Province in the news pages, and also reported on Taiwan Voice’s column to help find the families of the victims. Hong Kong wenhui network, Dagong.com, Sing Tao Global Network, China Review News Network, Hong Kong News Network, Hong Kong Bauhinia, HK Me and My Motherland, Hong Kong HK+, Macau Daily, Citizen Daily and Lotus Times, Media such as American Business News Network, Singapore Lianhe Zaobao, Malaysia Lianhe Daily, Guanghua Daily, Indonesia International Daily, Japanese Chinese Business Network, Nordic Times, Portugal’s Portuguese New Newspaper, Ouqiao.com, Greece-China.com, New Zealand United Daily News, West Africa Online, etc. have also reported the condolences of the Supreme Leader issued by the Voice of Taiwan, and the voice of Taiwan is concerned with the compatriots who were killed or injured in the Taiwan Railway accident. 

△ Hong Kong Wen Wei Po

△ Ta Kung Pao

△ Hong Kong wenhui network

△ Dagong.com

△ Dagong.com

△ Sing Tao Global Network

△ China Review News Network

△ China Review News Network

△ Hong Kong News Network

△ Hong Kong "Bauhinia"

△ bus report

HK me and my motherland

Hong kong "HK+"

Macao daily

Macao Citizen Daily

Macau Lotus Times

American business news network

Singapore Lianhe Zaobao Chinese website

Singapore Lianhe Zaobao Chinese website

Malaysia Lianhe Daily

Guanghua Daily, Malaysia

Indonesia International Daily

Japan Chinese Business Network

Nordic times

Portuguese new newspaper

Ouqiao net

Xizhong. com

New Zealand United Daily News

West Africa online

  The Taiwan Railway accident deeply touched the hearts of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Voice of Taiwan and the new media platform "Looking at Taiwan Strait" launched a column.Direct attack on Taiwan railway accident: looking for the families of the casualtiesAfter the contact information is published,Hundreds of cross-strait listeners either call the hotline of Taiwan Voice of the Sea or post messages on new media platforms.Concerned about the latest progress of accident rescue, expressing condolences and condolences to the casualties of the accident, and conveying concerns and greetings to relatives on the island.Jiangxi Yichun GaoanofMr. LuoI called the voice of Taiwan Sea at the first time to express my thoughts on my uncle’s family who had not been in contact for a long time in Taiwan Province.Taiwan Province May singer Yang PinhuaThank friends on both sides of the strait for their condolences on the online platform, pray for the injured, observe silence for the deceased, and forward the phone number of the voice of Taiwan and the sea to find relatives;Taiwan Province Xinbei listens to friends and family.Calling the hotline of the Voice of Taiwan Sea said that the blood of compatriots on both sides of the strait is thicker than water, and the Voice of Taiwan Sea is a radio station with temperature, which made him very moved.

Taiwan Province May singer Yang Pinhua left a message on the online platform.

Taiwan Province Xinbei listens to friends and calls the voice of Taiwan Sea.

△ Netizens leave a message on the new media platform of the reception desk to pray for their compatriots.

  Lin Boyan, President of Zhangzhou Taiwanese Investment Enterprise Association.Calling Taiwan Voice said that compatriots on both sides of the strait are a family whose blood is thicker than water. On behalf of the vast number of Taiwan compatriots in Zhangzhou, I would like to express my deep condolences to the compatriots who died in this accident and express my sincere condolences to the injured and the families of the victims.Tang Yushu, former chairman of Hualien County Tourist Hotel Business Association and director of Hualien Tourism Promotion Association.He said that all Taiwan Province compatriots felt the same way when they heard the special report of the Voice of the Sea, the general radio and television station of the Central Committee, and heard the deep concern and care of so many compatriots in the mainland. I sincerely hope that the tragedy of the Taiwan Railway accident will make people on both sides of the strait care for each other and warm each other.Lai Lianjin, President of Taiwan Province South China NewsHe said that he was very touched when he heard the program "Directly Attacking the Taiwan Railway Accident: Looking for the Families of the Casualties" broadcast by the Voice of Taiwan Sea on the AM549 radio wave in Taiwan Province. The mainland listened to the greetings from friends and netizens, and he was deeply impressed that the two sides of the strait are a family separated by only a strip of water.Peking University Taisheng Wang YuhanIn the message, I said that I saw many mainland friends are very concerned about this matter through the "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" public number, and I feel the goodwill of my compatriots. I feel very gratified and hope that there will be no more natural and man-made disasters.Taiwan Province young Ficus virensThe message said that the special report launched by the "Looking at the Taiwan Strait" platform enabled him to quickly grasp the progress of the incident. He has recommended this platform to many friends on the island.

What changes have taken place in Shanghai’s traffic since it withdrew from the "Top Ten Blocked Cities"

  At 9 o’clock, Zhu Liyu, who lives in Longchang Road, Yangpu District, drove from Zhoujiazui Road ramp to the Inner Ring Road and was drowned in the traffic that did not see the beginning and end of the morning peak. 40 minutes later, he arrived at the company parking garage on Lilac Road in Pudong, five minutes ahead of the 45 minutes predicted by the navigation software.

  "The traffic congestion in Shanghai has indeed improved." Zhu Liyu’s experience is not accidental. A few days ago, the Traffic Analysis Report of Major Cities in China in Q2 2019, which was jointly released by several institutions, announced the congestion ranking of 50 cities in the second quarter of 2019, and Shanghai ranked 15th, dropping out of the "Top Ten Blocked Cities". In the same period of last year, Shanghai ranked eighth in this list, while in the same period of 2014, the congestion situation in Shanghai ranked first.

  What changes have taken place in Shanghai’s traffic over the years?

  "Beauty of Shanghai Order" friends circle swiped the screen

  Relying on scientific and technological innovation, Shanghai Public Security Bureau constantly empowers the "electronic police". Behind every picture that embodies the beauty of order, there is an "electronic policeman" who works 24 hours a day.

  Not long ago, a group of posts "This is the beauty of Shanghai order" were screened in the WeChat circle of friends. In these pictures taken by the surveillance video, at the place where the two lanes of the elevated ramp "merge into one", vehicles pass alternately in turn, such as the same smooth zipper. Not far away, the traffic police set up a reminder sign, and the ground was also marked with the obvious words "alternate traffic". Netizens have praised it.

  A few years ago, the phenomenon of illegal fighting for roads and grabbing lines at the "combination of two and one" on the elevated ramp was everywhere, causing artificial congestion. Such large-scale and wide-ranging illegal acts exist widely, so it is necessary to find out in time when obtaining evidence. The elevated detachment of Shanghai Public Security Traffic Police can only divert traffic in the morning and evening rush hours, and then randomly carry out special rectification at various illegal-prone turnouts, with limited effect.

  Behind every picture that embodies the beauty of order, there is an "electronic policeman" who works 24 hours a day. In recent years, relying on scientific and technological innovation, Shanghai Public Security Bureau has continuously empowered the "electronic police". Today’s electronic police can not only collect evidence for illegal acts such as speeding, running red lights and illegal parking, but also locate and capture many traffic violations such as motor vehicle horn, not wearing seat belts, changing lanes and traffic jams, making big turns and turning small. At the same time, the original "electronic police" has been continuously upgraded, and a set of equipment can simultaneously capture a variety of common traffic violations.

  "Clearing traffic jams and ensuring traffic smoothness" was once a high-frequency word mentioned in Shanghai traffic management. In recent years, "strictly controlling traffic violations" has gradually become the focus of Shanghai public security traffic management. Data analysis shows that traffic violations are prone to occur frequently, which is the main reason for the chaos of road traffic order in Shanghai. In the eyes of professionals, the traffic police who have the power to enforce the law will focus on the rectification of traffic violations, use the "electronic police" to efficiently collect evidence of traffic violations, and seize the "bull nose" to control traffic congestion.

  The traffic in mega-cities is like the human circulatory system, and one place is blocked and affects the whole body. As long as there is a car accident or breaks down, there will be a long queue behind. With the strict control of traffic violations, the number of road traffic accidents, deaths and injuries in Shanghai continued to decline, down by 8.7%, 13.2% and 2.6% respectively.

  Smart "traffic lights" can predict traffic flow.

  Last year, a brand-new "intelligent signal lamp system" was tried out in Shanghai. This set of traffic lights can sense and collect traffic data through multiple channels, and give the best scheme of signal control and traffic organization.

  In the past, a typical intersection was like this: there were auxiliary police on all sides to help manage non-motor vehicles and pedestrians, while the traffic police stood in the middle of the road to direct and divert traffic, and they had to run around from time to time to enforce the law.

  Traffic guidance depends on what the traffic police see and hear. Moreover, only the guidance on the "point" can only transmit the traffic pressure at one intersection to the next intersection. Improving road traffic efficiency must be a "systematic project" of a line and a network. On the eve of the first China International Import Expo last year, a brand-new "intelligent signal lamp system" was tried out in Shanghai. This set of signal lights does not simply indicate stopping or passing, but senses and collects traffic data through multiple channels, and gives the best scheme of signal control and traffic organization.

  Wang Liang, deputy head of the Traffic Police Corps of the Municipal Public Security Bureau, said that the data collected by this intelligent transportation system can provide a basis for the on-site management of traffic police. "For example, if you know which road and which direction the traffic load is too large, the traffic police can guide the traffic diversion in advance, dynamically allocate the right of way and improve the traffic efficiency." According to calculation, through such dynamic and timely management measures, the regional road traffic efficiency has been improved by more than 10%. The reporter learned from the Traffic Police Corps of the Municipal Public Security Bureau that before the end of this year, there will be 1,000 intersections in the city with this set of traffic lights.

  "I thought that the road construction would be very blocked, but I didn’t expect it to be smooth." Mr. Zeng, who lives in Wuning Road, was once worried that the road closure would affect his travel because of the reconstruction of the road at his doorstep. Unexpectedly, after the construction began, temporary traffic lanes were newly built and variable lanes were set. He did not feel that the road occupation construction brought too much impact. "The refinement of Shanghai is reflected in these details."

  "We insist on the second-by-second adjustment of signal lights, the improvement of traffic organization one by one, and the improvement of road traffic efficiency through minor changes." Wang Liang said that taking the 104 down ramps with hidden dangers of "poor downlink" in the city as an example, every traffic police detachment should go to the local down ramps for on-the-spot investigation, investigate the reasons for poor downlink and formulate solutions one by one.

  "Yan’ an elevated Tibet South Road has a large traffic volume and is often congested. After investigation, we found that there is a blank period between the traffic lights at the two intersections before and after the ramp, and the road resources are relatively rich." After repeated research, the elevated detachment of the Traffic Police Corps of the Municipal Public Security Bureau and the local traffic police, through fine-tuning the green light signal time, used this short time to quickly release 50 to 100 vehicles. In this way, the congestion on the off-ramp can be alleviated.

  Remediation of traffic violations of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians

  The rectification of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians’ violation of the law is large in quantity and wide in scope, and there is a lack of management hands like motor vehicle driver’s license and license plate. Since March 24 this year, the Shanghai Public Security Bureau has launched a centralized and unified operation every week.

  "Shanghai’s traffic rectification has been carried out for more than three years, and citizens generally report that motor vehicles are more disciplined. However, traffic violations of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians are still high, which undermines traffic order and brings many security risks. " Wang Liang said that while keeping the "three chaos and one rebellion" of motor vehicles prominent in the strict investigation of traffic violations, since last year, the traffic police department has made traffic violations of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians the focus of rectification.

  Speaking of rectifying non-motor vehicles and pedestrians, many front-line traffic police are puzzled: on the one hand, such violations are extensive; On the other hand, there is a lack of management grips like motor vehicle driving license and license plate. Wang Liang said: "We ask the traffic police to enforce the law as strictly as non-motor vehicles and pedestrians." Since March 24 this year, Shanghai public security organs have organized weekly centralized and unified actions to tackle and rectify traffic violations of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians, with the participation of the whole police, to tackle and rectify various traffic violations of non-motor vehicles and pedestrians.

  Police-enterprise cooperation, social governance, alleviating parking difficulties

  In response to the needs of residents for parking at night and picking up and dropping off students, the traffic police department, together with relevant local governments and functional departments, has taken measures to alleviate the "long-standing problem" of parking difficulties.

  When Ms. Zhang, a citizen, was stopped for crossing the road at a red light for the first time, she was not fined. The traffic police only gave her oral education after registering her identity information. This is a "progressive" law enforcement mode adopted by Shanghai traffic police against pedestrian traffic violations: the first education, the second warning, and the third and above penalties.

  Lifestyle changes bring new challenges to traffic management. In recent years, the development of the take-away and express delivery industry, which generally relies on non-motor vehicles to solve the "last mile", has aggravated the traffic violations of non-motor vehicles. On July 1st, the off-site enforcement system of electric bicycle traffic violations based on RFID technology was put into use. At present, the construction and installation of RFID collection equipment have been completed at key intersections and sections of the outer ring road of the city, and 54,000 electric bicycles engaged in express delivery and take-away industries have been replaced with new electronic license plates. "In the past, we lacked an effective grasp of managing non-motor vehicles, and electronic license plates provided us with a solution to the problem." According to the relevant person in charge of the traffic police department of the Municipal Public Security Bureau, as of July 28, this system has seized more than 9,400 non-motor vehicle traffic violations.

  A few days ago, the reporter saw in the Huaihai Road business circle that the sign of "temporary parking spot for non-motor vehicles of take-away enterprises" was hung in the open space around buildings such as Times Square and Hong Kong Plaza in Shanghai. From time to time, take-away riders rode their cars here to run and deliver meals. Correspondingly, the phenomenon that non-motor vehicles are parked and placed on the road is reduced.

  Huaihai Road Business Circle gathers commercial buildings and commercial shops, and the demand for logistics and take-away services is amazing. However, Huaihai Middle Road is a non-road section, and non-motor vehicles are prohibited from passing through the whole line. Some take-away and express delivery practitioners not only ride illegally, but also stop and put them in disorder. While contacting the property to implement the parking resources, the traffic police department promotes the cooperation between the police and enterprises and social co-governance, and innovates safety management measures such as big data screening of the problem network car, digital management of bike-sharing, "one person, one car, one license and one yard" for take-away riders and personnel score management. Last week, 28 express delivery companies jointly signed a joint commitment on rider traffic safety.

  Parking difficulty is a "long-standing problem" in traffic management. Since the traffic rectification, the city has drawn a total of 239 "yellow solid lines" roads, and parking is prohibited across the whole line, which makes many drivers feel "very inconvenient". "In addition to strict law enforcement, we also consider the actual needs." Wang Liang said that in order to alleviate the difficulty of getting on and off taxis, the traffic police department has set up more than 3,000 taxi pick-up and drop-off points at bus stops. In view of the practical needs of residents such as parking at night and picking up and dropping off students, the traffic police department actively cooperates with relevant local governments and functional departments to take measures to alleviate the parking problem. In addition to adding time-limited road parking lots and night-time road parking lots on roads where conditions permit, we also actively tap the potential, build and add parking facilities, coordinate to turn idle land into temporary parking lots, and make use of the difference in parking demand time between residential areas and surrounding commercial buildings, hospitals, etc., and use and share parking facilities at wrong times.

  At present, the city has more than 2,300 road parking lots with more than 90,000 berths. Among them, there are 116 night road parking lots to alleviate the parking difficulties in residential areas, which can park about 3,300 vehicles, and 273 temporary road parking lots to alleviate the parking difficulties for students, which can park about 5,900 vehicles. (Reporter Wang Xianle Jian Gongbo)